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Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Participación en la primera ronda de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Participación en la primera ronda de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas

2.0–2.2M 100.0%

<2,0M <1%

2.2–2.4M <1%

2.4–2.6M <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

2.0–2.2M 100.0%

<2,0M <1%

2.2–2.4M <1%

2.4–2.6M <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

<2,0M

$0 Vol.

No

2.0–2.2M

$0 Vol.

Sí

2.2–2.4M

$0 Vol.

No

2.4–2.6M

$0 Vol.

No

2.6–2.8M

$0 Vol.

No

2.8M+

$0 Vol.

No

Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Record early voting in the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary has driven trader consensus to overwhelmingly favor 2.0–2.2 million votes, with over 970,000 GOP early ballots already surpassing 2018 records amid high presidential primary interest between Trump and Haley supporters. Incumbent Ted Cruz's commanding lead—polling above 80% with minimal challengers—limits Senate-specific mobilization, but statewide enthusiasm from downballot contests and voter outreach sustains turnout pace. Historical GOP primary highs around 1.6 million in competitive cycles support this projection, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing. Realistic challenges include adverse Election Day weather on March 5, processing delays, or voter complacency yielding under 2 million total.

Record early voting in the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary has driven trader consensus to overwhelmingly favor 2.0–2.2 million votes, with over 970,000 GOP early ballots already surpassing 2018 records amid high presidential primary interest between Trump and Haley supporters. Incumbent Ted Cruz's commanding lead—polling above 80% with minimal challengers—limits Senate-specific mobilization, but statewide enthusiasm from downballot contests and voter outreach sustains turnout pace. Historical GOP primary highs around 1.6 million in competitive cycles support this projection, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing. Realistic challenges include adverse Election Day weather on March 5, processing delays, or voter complacency yielding under 2 million total.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Record early voting in the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary has driven trader consensus to overwhelmingly favor 2.0–2.2 million votes, with over 970,000 GOP early ballots already surpassing 2018 records amid high presidential primary interest between Trump and Haley supporters. Incumbent Ted Cruz's commanding lead—polling above 80% with minimal challengers—limits Senate-specific mobilization, but statewide enthusiasm from downballot contests and voter outreach sustains turnout pace. Historical GOP primary highs around 1.6 million in competitive cycles support this projection, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing. Realistic challenges include adverse Election Day weather on March 5, processing delays, or voter complacency yielding under 2 million total.

Record early voting in the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary has driven trader consensus to overwhelmingly favor 2.0–2.2 million votes, with over 970,000 GOP early ballots already surpassing 2018 records amid high presidential primary interest between Trump and Haley supporters. Incumbent Ted Cruz's commanding lead—polling above 80% with minimal challengers—limits Senate-specific mobilization, but statewide enthusiasm from downballot contests and voter outreach sustains turnout pace. Historical GOP primary highs around 1.6 million in competitive cycles support this projection, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing. Realistic challenges include adverse Election Day weather on March 5, processing delays, or voter complacency yielding under 2 million total.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Participación en la primera ronda de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "2.0–2.2M" con 100%, seguido de "<2,0M" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Participación en la primera ronda de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 6, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Participación en la primera ronda de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Participación en la primera ronda de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" es "2.0–2.2M" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<2,0M" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Participación en la primera ronda de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.