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Política·Juicios Trump

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

Market icon
Política·Juicios Trump

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

No prison time 100.0%

12-23 months <1%

36-47 months <1%

1-11 months <1%

Polymarket

$10,118,204 Vol.

No prison time 100.0%

12-23 months <1%

36-47 months <1%

1-11 months <1%

Polymarket

$10,118,204 Vol.

No prison time

$1,514,093 Vol.

Yes

1-11 months

$1,025,535 Vol.

No

12-23 months

$3,461,448 Vol.

No

24-35 months

$2,663,690 Vol.

No

36-47 months

$768,705 Vol.

No

48+ months

$684,733 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 0 (exclusive) time and 11 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 12 (inclusive) months and 23 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 24 (inclusive) months and 35 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 36 (inclusive) months and 47 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend 48 or more months in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 12 (inclusive) months and 23 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No".

If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$10,118,204
Fecha de finalización
Nov 5, 2024
Mercado abierto
May 31, 2024, 12:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 12 (inclusive) months and 23 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 0 (exclusive) time and 11 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 12 (inclusive) months and 23 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 24 (inclusive) months and 35 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend between 36 (inclusive) months and 47 months (inclusive) in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is sentenced to spend 48 or more months in the custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Trump prison time in NY case before election?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "No prison time" con 100%, seguido de "1-11 months" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Trump prison time in NY case before election?" ha generado $10.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 31, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Trump prison time in NY case before election?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Trump prison time in NY case before election?" es "No prison time" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "1-11 months" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Trump prison time in NY case before election?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.