Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas

Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
Market icon

Republicano

$2,649 Vol.

81%

Market icon

Demócrata

$3,192 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's dominant 82% win in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 79% for a GOP victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee state Rep. Gina Hinojosa, who took 60% in her primary. Pre-primary polls, including recent University of Texas-Tyler (Abbott 49%-41%) and University of Houston (49%-42%) surveys, show consistent double-digit leads for Abbott amid Texas' long GOP dominance—no Democrat has won statewide since 1990. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Safe Republican, reflecting incumbency advantages, strong fundraising, and border security focus, though Hinojosa competes among Latinos and independents. Upcoming debates and early voting could influence margins.

Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's dominant 82% win in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 79% for a GOP victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee state Rep. Gina Hinojosa, who took 60% in her primary. Pre-primary polls, including recent University of Texas-Tyler (Abbott 49%-41%) and University of Houston (49%-42%) surveys, show consistent double-digit leads for Abbott amid Texas' long GOP dominance—no Democrat has won statewide since 1990. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Safe Republican, reflecting incumbency advantages, strong fundraising, and border security focus, though Hinojosa competes among Latinos and independents. Upcoming debates and early voting could influence margins.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's dominant 82% win in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 79% for a GOP victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee state Rep. Gina Hinojosa, who took 60% in her primary. Pre-primary polls, including recent University of Texas-Tyler (Abbott 49%-41%) and University of Houston (49%-42%) surveys, show consistent double-digit leads for Abbott amid Texas' long GOP dominance—no Democrat has won statewide since 1990. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Safe Republican, reflecting incumbency advantages, strong fundraising, and border security focus, though Hinojosa competes among Latinos and independents. Upcoming debates and early voting could influence margins.

Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott's dominant 82% win in the March 3 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 79% for a GOP victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee state Rep. Gina Hinojosa, who took 60% in her primary. Pre-primary polls, including recent University of Texas-Tyler (Abbott 49%-41%) and University of Houston (49%-42%) surveys, show consistent double-digit leads for Abbott amid Texas' long GOP dominance—no Democrat has won statewide since 1990. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Safe Republican, reflecting incumbency advantages, strong fundraising, and border security focus, though Hinojosa competes among Latinos and independents. Upcoming debates and early voting could influence margins.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Republicano" con 81%, seguido de "Demócrata" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 81¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Oct 13, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas" es "Republicano" con 81%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Demócrata" con 19%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Texas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.