Trader sentiment on South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation favors 3.0%+ at 40.5% implied probability, driven by escalating Middle East tensions—particularly the Iran conflict—propelling oil prices higher and amplifying imported inflation risks for energy-dependent Korea. February 2026 headline CPI held steady at the Bank of Korea's 2% target, but core inflation edged up amid a weakening won, prompting BOK to lift its 2026 forecast to 2.2% in February while holding policy rate at 2.50%. Analysts including ING (2.2%) and OECD (2.7%) cite similar upside pressures, yet lower bands like 1.5%-1.7% (25.5%) reflect base-case stability if oil eases; watch March CPI release for near-term shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado3,0%+ 47%
1,8% a 2,0% 24%
2,4% a 2,6% 24%
<1,5% 18.0%
$10,007 Vol.
$10,007 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
21%
1,5% a 1,7%
26%
1,8% a 2,0%
24%
2,1% a 2,3%
9%
2,4% a 2,6%
24%
2,7% a 2,9%
4%
3,0%+
47%
3,0%+ 47%
1,8% a 2,0% 24%
2,4% a 2,6% 24%
<1,5% 18.0%
$10,007 Vol.
$10,007 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
$937 Vol.
21%
1,5% a 1,7%
$942 Vol.
26%
1,8% a 2,0%
$0 Vol.
24%
2,1% a 2,3%
$0 Vol.
9%
2,4% a 2,6%
$0 Vol.
24%
2,7% a 2,9%
$80 Vol.
4%
3,0%+
$8,048 Vol.
47%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader sentiment on South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation favors 3.0%+ at 40.5% implied probability, driven by escalating Middle East tensions—particularly the Iran conflict—propelling oil prices higher and amplifying imported inflation risks for energy-dependent Korea. February 2026 headline CPI held steady at the Bank of Korea's 2% target, but core inflation edged up amid a weakening won, prompting BOK to lift its 2026 forecast to 2.2% in February while holding policy rate at 2.50%. Analysts including ING (2.2%) and OECD (2.7%) cite similar upside pressures, yet lower bands like 1.5%-1.7% (25.5%) reflect base-case stability if oil eases; watch March CPI release for near-term shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$10,007Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader sentiment on South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation favors 3.0%+ at 40.5% implied probability, driven by escalating Middle East tensions—particularly the Iran conflict—propelling oil prices higher and amplifying imported inflation risks for energy-dependent Korea. February 2026 headline CPI held steady at the Bank of Korea's 2% target, but core inflation edged up amid a weakening won, prompting BOK to lift its 2026 forecast to 2.2% in February while holding policy rate at 2.50%. Analysts including ING (2.2%) and OECD (2.7%) cite similar upside pressures, yet lower bands like 1.5%-1.7% (25.5%) reflect base-case stability if oil eases; watch March CPI release for near-term shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volumen
$10,007Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation favors 3.0%+ at 40.5% implied probability, driven by escalating Middle East tensions—particularly the Iran conflict—propelling oil prices higher and amplifying imported inflation risks for energy-dependent Korea. February 2026 headline CPI held steady at the Bank of Korea's 2% target, but core inflation edged up amid a weakening won, prompting BOK to lift its 2026 forecast to 2.2% in February while holding policy rate at 2.50%. Analysts including ING (2.2%) and OECD (2.7%) cite similar upside pressures, yet lower bands like 1.5%-1.7% (25.5%) reflect base-case stability if oil eases; watch March CPI release for near-term shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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