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Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 36.8%

Marco Rubio 20.8%

Tucker Carlson 4.9%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$486,115,854 Vol.

J.D. Vance 36.8%

Marco Rubio 20.8%

Tucker Carlson 4.9%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$486,115,854 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$6,742,836 Vol.

37%

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Marco Rubio

$6,550,123 Vol.

21%

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Tucker Carlson

$7,178,644 Vol.

5%

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Ron DeSantis

$7,866,749 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$6,220,637 Vol.

2%

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Glenn Youngkin

$5,557,287 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$2,651,720 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$5,815,450 Vol.

2%

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Rand Paul

$15,919,584 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$12,277,363 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$5,223,947 Vol.

1%

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Ted Cruz

$13,946,226 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$21,619,919 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3,866,621 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$7,081,996 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$17,131,634 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$8,991,504 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$10,863,252 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$15,110,315 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$4,023,143 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$27,896,044 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$12,809,707 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$24,229,167 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$27,768,565 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$1,311,648 Vol.

1%

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Elise Stefanik

$21,183,626 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$15,514,635 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$28,660,336 Vol.

1%

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Joe Kent

$1,668,273 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$27,648,093 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon

$14,517,251 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$32,887,168 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$22,827,691 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$10,486,528 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$32,071,296 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With President Trump constitutionally barred from a third term, trader consensus on Polymarket positions HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow 2028 Republican presidential nominee frontrunner at 49%, driven by his Make America Healthy Again movement's rising sway over the GOP base ahead of 2026 midterms and a March 7 family claim of his "definite" presidential plans despite prior denials. Vice President J.D. Vance trails closely at 37%, benefiting from heir-apparent status but slipping in recent straw polls amid efforts to balance MAGA loyalty with governance restraint. Secretary of State Marco Rubio holds third at 21%, elevated by his handling of Iran escalations, Trump's private polling of donors favoring him over Vance, and emerging shadow draft efforts—highlighting a contested open primary where upcoming midterms could reshape paths to victory.

With President Trump constitutionally barred from a third term, trader consensus on Polymarket positions HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow 2028 Republican presidential nominee frontrunner at 49%, driven by his Make America Healthy Again movement's rising sway over the GOP base ahead of 2026 midterms and a March 7 family claim of his "definite" presidential plans despite prior denials. Vice President J.D. Vance trails closely at 37%, benefiting from heir-apparent status but slipping in recent straw polls amid efforts to balance MAGA loyalty with governance restraint. Secretary of State Marco Rubio holds third at 21%, elevated by his handling of Iran escalations, Trump's private polling of donors favoring him over Vance, and emerging shadow draft efforts—highlighting a contested open primary where upcoming midterms could reshape paths to victory.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.With President Trump constitutionally barred from a third term, trader consensus on Polymarket positions HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow 2028 Republican presidential nominee frontrunner at 49%, driven by his Make America Healthy Again movement's rising sway over the GOP base ahead of 2026 midterms and a March 7 family claim of his "definite" presidential plans despite prior denials. Vice President J.D. Vance trails closely at 37%, benefiting from heir-apparent status but slipping in recent straw polls amid efforts to balance MAGA loyalty with governance restraint. Secretary of State Marco Rubio holds third at 21%, elevated by his handling of Iran escalations, Trump's private polling of donors favoring him over Vance, and emerging shadow draft efforts—highlighting a contested open primary where upcoming midterms could reshape paths to victory.

With President Trump constitutionally barred from a third term, trader consensus on Polymarket positions HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow 2028 Republican presidential nominee frontrunner at 49%, driven by his Make America Healthy Again movement's rising sway over the GOP base ahead of 2026 midterms and a March 7 family claim of his "definite" presidential plans despite prior denials. Vice President J.D. Vance trails closely at 37%, benefiting from heir-apparent status but slipping in recent straw polls amid efforts to balance MAGA loyalty with governance restraint. Secretary of State Marco Rubio holds third at 21%, elevated by his handling of Iran escalations, Trump's private polling of donors favoring him over Vance, and emerging shadow draft efforts—highlighting a contested open primary where upcoming midterms could reshape paths to victory.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "J.D. Vance" con 37%, seguido de "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" ha generado $486.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es "J.D. Vance" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.