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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028

JD Vance 17.6%

Gavin Newsom 16.9%

Marco Rubio 10.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6.2%

Polymarket

$488,326,068 Vol.

JD Vance 17.6%

Gavin Newsom 16.9%

Marco Rubio 10.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6.2%

Polymarket

$488,326,068 Vol.

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JD Vance

$9,659,937 Vol.

18%

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Gavin Newsom

$9,356,865 Vol.

17%

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Marco Rubio

$5,500,375 Vol.

10%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$10,563,759 Vol.

6%

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Jon Ossoff

$3,171,430 Vol.

3%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Kamala Harris

$6,670,608 Vol.

3%

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Tucker Carlson

$9,621,620 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$6,725,508 Vol.

2%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,425,863 Vol.

2%

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Pete Buttigieg

$3,535,182 Vol.

2%

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Ron DeSantis

$5,997,632 Vol.

2%

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Título del grupo: Andy Beshear

$16,026,744 Vol.

1%

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JB Pritzker

$10,474,150 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$5,793,691 Vol.

1%

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James Talarico

$3,873,714 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$13,444,177 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Elon Musk

$22,230,900 Vol.

1%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,890,825 Vol.

1%

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Jamie Dimon

$7,401,633 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$31,583,463 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$5,868,774 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$4,236,652 Vol.

1%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$8,694,051 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$6,185,047 Vol.

1%

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Thomas Massie

$3,502,897 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$21,340,926 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$38,863,425 Vol.

1%

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Glenn Youngkin

$20,094,448 Vol.

1%

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Stephen Smith

$28,750,970 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$27,495,602 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$29,708,437 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$16,725,618 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$5,693,968 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$43,769,623 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$2,482,107 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$29,967,692 Vol.

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, with probabilities tightly clustered amid an open field lacking declared candidates or primaries. Vance's positioning stems from his incumbency advantage under President Trump, bolstered by a dominant CPAC straw poll victory (53%) last week, a headline appearance at the Rockbridge Network conservative donor summit days ago, and his new book "Communion" announcement fueling speculation. Newsom gains from Democratic fragmentation post-2024, but national favorability polls show limited separation. Midterm outcomes in November 2026, executive policy successes, endorsements, or scandals could widen gaps in this closely contested early market.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volumen
$488,326,068
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, with probabilities tightly clustered amid an open field lacking declared candidates or primaries. Vance's positioning stems from his incumbency advantage under President Trump, bolstered by a dominant CPAC straw poll victory (53%) last week, a headline appearance at the Rockbridge Network conservative donor summit days ago, and his new book "Communion" announcement fueling speculation. Newsom gains from Democratic fragmentation post-2024, but national favorability polls show limited separation. Midterm outcomes in November 2026, executive policy successes, endorsements, or scandals could widen gaps in this closely contested early market.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volumen
$488,326,068
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 36 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "JD Vance" con 18%, seguido de "Gavin Newsom" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 18¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" ha generado $488.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028", explora los 36 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" es "JD Vance" con 18%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Gavin Newsom" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.