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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028

JD Vance 17.6%

Gavin Newsom 17.0%

Marco Rubio 10.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.9%

Polymarket

$489,076,634 Vol.

JD Vance 17.6%

Gavin Newsom 17.0%

Marco Rubio 10.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.9%

Polymarket

$489,076,634 Vol.

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JD Vance

$9,666,774 Vol.

18%

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Gavin Newsom

$9,670,075 Vol.

17%

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Marco Rubio

$5,502,117 Vol.

10%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$10,570,383 Vol.

6%

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Jon Ossoff

$3,233,327 Vol.

3%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Kamala Harris

$6,676,929 Vol.

3%

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Tucker Carlson

$9,625,211 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$6,728,589 Vol.

2%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,431,542 Vol.

2%

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Pete Buttigieg

$3,540,266 Vol.

2%

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Ron DeSantis

$5,999,331 Vol.

2%

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Título del grupo: Andy Beshear

$16,027,359 Vol.

1%

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JB Pritzker

$10,475,999 Vol.

1%

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James Talarico

$3,875,632 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$5,806,597 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$13,444,931 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Elon Musk

$22,242,670 Vol.

1%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,896,769 Vol.

1%

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Jamie Dimon

$7,402,568 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$31,590,204 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$5,882,951 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$4,237,700 Vol.

1%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$8,700,555 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$6,209,956 Vol.

1%

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Thomas Massie

$3,505,469 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$21,355,591 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$38,896,080 Vol.

1%

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Glenn Youngkin

$20,109,876 Vol.

1%

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Stephen Smith

$28,762,433 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$27,498,114 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$29,720,380 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$16,730,913 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$5,718,960 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$43,792,757 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$2,487,860 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$30,063,154 Vol.

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 17.6%, buoyed by his recent victory in the CPAC straw poll for the GOP nomination and dominant showings in Republican primary surveys like JL Partners (53%) and New Hampshire polling, reflecting his incumbency advantage as heir apparent in a Trump administration. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.1%, propelled by leading Democratic primary polls such as Emerson's 25% and a tie for second in New Hampshire, amid Democrats' search for a post-2024 standard-bearer. Secretary of State Marco Rubio ranks third at 10.2% after gains at CPAC. The tight race stems from early-stage uncertainty, with 2026 midterms poised to clarify paths-to-victory through battleground performances, fundraising, and endorsements; scandals or economic shifts could widen gaps.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volumen
$489,076,634
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 17.6%, buoyed by his recent victory in the CPAC straw poll for the GOP nomination and dominant showings in Republican primary surveys like JL Partners (53%) and New Hampshire polling, reflecting his incumbency advantage as heir apparent in a Trump administration. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17.1%, propelled by leading Democratic primary polls such as Emerson's 25% and a tie for second in New Hampshire, amid Democrats' search for a post-2024 standard-bearer. Secretary of State Marco Rubio ranks third at 10.2% after gains at CPAC. The tight race stems from early-stage uncertainty, with 2026 midterms poised to clarify paths-to-victory through battleground performances, fundraising, and endorsements; scandals or economic shifts could widen gaps.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volumen
$489,076,634
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 36 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "JD Vance" con 18%, seguido de "Gavin Newsom" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 18¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" ha generado $489.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028", explora los 36 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" es "JD Vance" con 18%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Gavin Newsom" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.