As of March 28, Korea Meteorological Administration data shows Seoul's March 2026 precipitation totaling around 41 mm, driven by early-month events including 11.7 mm on March 2 and 11 mm on March 5 amid weakening East Asian monsoon influences, followed by lighter falls on March 18 (7.7 mm). A dry spell since then, with no significant moisture from frontal systems, has concentrated totals early, exceeding the 37 mm monthly normal but below historical averages near 47 mm. KMA short-term forecasts for March 29-31 predict mostly cloudy skies with 10-30% precipitation odds and negligible amounts under dominant high pressure, creating trader uncertainty that tightly clusters implied probabilities around 30-45 mm bins—differentiated by potential trace showers versus complete dryness in the final days. Updated model ensembles expected soon could shift consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoPrecipitation in Seoul in March?
Precipitation in Seoul in March?
35-40 mm 33%
30-35 mm 30%
40-45 mm 23%
60 mm+ 13%
$24,178 Vol.
$24,178 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
<30 mm
<1%
30-35 mm
29%
35-40 mm
30%
40-45 mm
23%
45-50mm
6%
50-55 mm
14%
55-60 mm
14%
60 mm+
13%
35-40 mm 33%
30-35 mm 30%
40-45 mm 23%
60 mm+ 13%
$24,178 Vol.
$24,178 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
<30 mm
$22,550 Vol.
<1%
30-35 mm
$110 Vol.
29%
35-40 mm
$206 Vol.
30%
40-45 mm
$105 Vol.
23%
45-50mm
$127 Vol.
6%
50-55 mm
$101 Vol.
14%
55-60 mm
$214 Vol.
14%
60 mm+
$766 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of March 28, Korea Meteorological Administration data shows Seoul's March 2026 precipitation totaling around 41 mm, driven by early-month events including 11.7 mm on March 2 and 11 mm on March 5 amid weakening East Asian monsoon influences, followed by lighter falls on March 18 (7.7 mm). A dry spell since then, with no significant moisture from frontal systems, has concentrated totals early, exceeding the 37 mm monthly normal but below historical averages near 47 mm. KMA short-term forecasts for March 29-31 predict mostly cloudy skies with 10-30% precipitation odds and negligible amounts under dominant high pressure, creating trader uncertainty that tightly clusters implied probabilities around 30-45 mm bins—differentiated by potential trace showers versus complete dryness in the final days. Updated model ensembles expected soon could shift consensus.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volumen
$24,178Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of March 28, Korea Meteorological Administration data shows Seoul's March 2026 precipitation totaling around 41 mm, driven by early-month events including 11.7 mm on March 2 and 11 mm on March 5 amid weakening East Asian monsoon influences, followed by lighter falls on March 18 (7.7 mm). A dry spell since then, with no significant moisture from frontal systems, has concentrated totals early, exceeding the 37 mm monthly normal but below historical averages near 47 mm. KMA short-term forecasts for March 29-31 predict mostly cloudy skies with 10-30% precipitation odds and negligible amounts under dominant high pressure, creating trader uncertainty that tightly clusters implied probabilities around 30-45 mm bins—differentiated by potential trace showers versus complete dryness in the final days. Updated model ensembles expected soon could shift consensus.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$24,178Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...As of March 28, Korea Meteorological Administration data shows Seoul's March 2026 precipitation totaling around 41 mm, driven by early-month events including 11.7 mm on March 2 and 11 mm on March 5 amid weakening East Asian monsoon influences, followed by lighter falls on March 18 (7.7 mm). A dry spell since then, with no significant moisture from frontal systems, has concentrated totals early, exceeding the 37 mm monthly normal but below historical averages near 47 mm. KMA short-term forecasts for March 29-31 predict mostly cloudy skies with 10-30% precipitation odds and negligible amounts under dominant high pressure, creating trader uncertainty that tightly clusters implied probabilities around 30-45 mm bins—differentiated by potential trace showers versus complete dryness in the final days. Updated model ensembles expected soon could shift consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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