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Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú

Market icon
Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú

Carlos Álvarez 29.8%

Keiko Fujimori 23%

Rafael López Aliaga 18%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 16.5%

Polymarket

$6,066,731 Vol.

Carlos Álvarez 29.8%

Keiko Fujimori 23%

Rafael López Aliaga 18%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 16.5%

Polymarket

$6,066,731 Vol.

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Carlos Álvarez

$242,177 Vol.

30%

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Keiko Fujimori

$328,734 Vol.

23%

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Rafael López Aliaga

$838,383 Vol.

18%

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Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$439,076 Vol.

17%

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Ricardo Belmont

$341,274 Vol.

5%

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Alfonso López Chau

$349,893 Vol.

3%

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Jorge Nieto

$815,170 Vol.

3%

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Carlos Espá

$196,099 Vol.

1%

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Marisol Pérez Tello

$269,367 Vol.

1%

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César Acuña

$135,664 Vol.

<1%

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Fernando Olivera

$130,629 Vol.

<1%

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Wolfgang Grozo

$406,983 Vol.

<1%

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Yonhy Lescano

$224,787 Vol.

<1%

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Mesías Guevara

$157,255 Vol.

<1%

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George Forsyth

$155,380 Vol.

<1%

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Vladimir Cerrón

$154,061 Vol.

<1%

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Roberto Chiabra

$88,224 Vol.

<1%

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Enrique Valderrama

$178,602 Vol.

<1%

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Mario Vizcarra

$155,323 Vol.

<1%

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José Luna

$119,522 Vol.

<1%

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José Williams

$82,591 Vol.

<1%

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Fiorella Molinelli

$116,597 Vol.

<1%

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Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$141,859 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Trader consensus favors comedian Carlos Álvarez at 30% implied probability to win Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote or subsequent runoff, propelled by his post-debate surge in the latest Ipsos poll to 19%—up from 14% in early March—via viral impersonations and outsider appeal amid voter fatigue with corruption, crime, and instability. Keiko Fujimori slipped to 11% despite prior leads and experience, while Rafael López Aliaga (18%) and Roberto Sánchez Palomino (16%) hold as conservative and progressive alternatives in a fragmented 35-candidate field with 17% undecideds. Regional turnout divides—Sánchez strong in south, right-wingers in Lima—keeping the race tight; final endorsements, scandals, or mobilization could propel a frontrunner to runoff dominance by June 7.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$6,066,731
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Trader consensus favors comedian Carlos Álvarez at 30% implied probability to win Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote or subsequent runoff, propelled by his post-debate surge in the latest Ipsos poll to 19%—up from 14% in early March—via viral impersonations and outsider appeal amid voter fatigue with corruption, crime, and instability. Keiko Fujimori slipped to 11% despite prior leads and experience, while Rafael López Aliaga (18%) and Roberto Sánchez Palomino (16%) hold as conservative and progressive alternatives in a fragmented 35-candidate field with 17% undecideds. Regional turnout divides—Sánchez strong in south, right-wingers in Lima—keeping the race tight; final endorsements, scandals, or mobilization could propel a frontrunner to runoff dominance by June 7.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$6,066,731
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Carlos Álvarez" con 30%, seguido de "Keiko Fujimori" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 30¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" ha generado $6.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 16, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" es "Carlos Álvarez" con 30%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Keiko Fujimori" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.