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Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

OH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Eric Conroy 67%

Steven Erbeck 18%

Holly Adams 14%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry 14%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,820 Vol.

Eric Conroy 67%

Steven Erbeck 18%

Holly Adams 14%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry 14%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,820 Vol.

Eric Conroy

$11,820 Vol.

67%

Steven Erbeck

$0 Vol.

18%

Holly Adams

$0 Vol.

14%

Rosemary Oglesby-Henry

$0 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $425,000 raised by late 2025 and strong Q4 reports into February 2026—providing a clear edge in advertising and ground efforts. The district's redistricting in October 2025 shifted it to a Republican-leaning toss-up (R+3 to R+5), enhancing appeal for Conroy's national security credentials against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Challengers Steven Erbeck (dentist), Holly Adams (businesswoman), and Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (nonprofit CEO) share the rest at 18%, 14%, and 14%, with no recent polls or endorsements altering dynamics since March 17 candidate profiles and March 12 certification; early voting deadlines loom as key catalysts.

Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $425,000 raised by late 2025 and strong Q4 reports into February 2026—providing a clear edge in advertising and ground efforts. The district's redistricting in October 2025 shifted it to a Republican-leaning toss-up (R+3 to R+5), enhancing appeal for Conroy's national security credentials against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Challengers Steven Erbeck (dentist), Holly Adams (businesswoman), and Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (nonprofit CEO) share the rest at 18%, 14%, and 14%, with no recent polls or endorsements altering dynamics since March 17 candidate profiles and March 12 certification; early voting deadlines loom as key catalysts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $425,000 raised by late 2025 and strong Q4 reports into February 2026—providing a clear edge in advertising and ground efforts. The district's redistricting in October 2025 shifted it to a Republican-leaning toss-up (R+3 to R+5), enhancing appeal for Conroy's national security credentials against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Challengers Steven Erbeck (dentist), Holly Adams (businesswoman), and Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (nonprofit CEO) share the rest at 18%, 14%, and 14%, with no recent polls or endorsements altering dynamics since March 17 candidate profiles and March 12 certification; early voting deadlines loom as key catalysts.

Former CIA officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win Ohio's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 5, bolstered by superior fundraising—over $425,000 raised by late 2025 and strong Q4 reports into February 2026—providing a clear edge in advertising and ground efforts. The district's redistricting in October 2025 shifted it to a Republican-leaning toss-up (R+3 to R+5), enhancing appeal for Conroy's national security credentials against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Challengers Steven Erbeck (dentist), Holly Adams (businesswoman), and Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (nonprofit CEO) share the rest at 18%, 14%, and 14%, with no recent polls or endorsements altering dynamics since March 17 candidate profiles and March 12 certification; early voting deadlines loom as key catalysts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"OH-01 Republican Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Eric Conroy" con 67%, seguido de "Steven Erbeck" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 67¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 67% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "OH-01 Republican Primary Winner" ha generado $11.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "OH-01 Republican Primary Winner", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "OH-01 Republican Primary Winner" es "Eric Conroy" con 67%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 67% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Steven Erbeck" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "OH-01 Republican Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.