Trader sentiment for the 2027 French presidential race centers on a tight contest between National Rally's Jordan Bardella at 24.5% and centrist Édouard Philippe at 21%, reflecting polls like recent Ifop surveys showing Bardella leading narrowly amid Marine Le Pen's legal troubles over alleged party fund misuse, which have halved her odds to 9.5%. Left-wing Jean-Luc Mélenchon's static 9.5% underscores fragmentation across blocs, with no dominant center-right or socialist figure emerging post-Macron's term limit. This keeps the field bunched, as traders weigh RN internal dynamics and Philippe's Horizons momentum. Separation could arise from Le Pen's trial verdict in late 2024, EU policy shifts, or 2026 legislative outcomes influencing alliances and voter turnout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoPróximas elecciones presidenciales francesas
Próximas elecciones presidenciales francesas
Jordan Bardella 25%
Édouard Philippe 21%
Marine Le Pen 10%
Título del ítem del grupo: Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%
$18,741,058 Vol.
$18,741,058 Vol.

Jordan Bardella
25%

Édouard Philippe
21%

Marine Le Pen
10%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jean-Luc Mélenchon
10%

Dominique de Villepin
5%

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphaël Glucksmann
5%

Título del elemento de grupo: Bruno Retailleau
4%

David Lisnard
3%

Sarah Knafo
3%

François Hollande
3%

Gabriel Attal
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jean Castex
2%

Sébastien Lecornu
2%

Gérald Darmanin
1%

Éric Zemmour
1%

Juan Branco
1%

Bernard Cazeneuve
1%

Marine Tondelier
1%

François Ruffin
1%

Laurent Wauquiez
<1%

Manuel Bompard
<1%

Xavier Bertrand
<1%

Olivier Faure
<1%

Fabien Roussel
<1%

François Asselineau
<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
<1%

Valérie Pécresse
<1%

Élisabeth Borne
<1%

Carole Delga
<1%

Ségolène Royal
<1%

Clémentine Autain
<1%

Michel Barnier
<1%

François Bayrou
<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
<1%

Mathilde Panot
<1%

Clémence Guetté
<1%
Jordan Bardella 25%
Édouard Philippe 21%
Marine Le Pen 10%
Título del ítem del grupo: Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%
$18,741,058 Vol.
$18,741,058 Vol.

Jordan Bardella
25%

Édouard Philippe
21%

Marine Le Pen
10%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jean-Luc Mélenchon
10%

Dominique de Villepin
5%

Título del ítem de grupo: Raphaël Glucksmann
5%

Título del elemento de grupo: Bruno Retailleau
4%

David Lisnard
3%

Sarah Knafo
3%

François Hollande
3%

Gabriel Attal
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Jean Castex
2%

Sébastien Lecornu
2%

Gérald Darmanin
1%

Éric Zemmour
1%

Juan Branco
1%

Bernard Cazeneuve
1%

Marine Tondelier
1%

François Ruffin
1%

Laurent Wauquiez
<1%

Manuel Bompard
<1%

Xavier Bertrand
<1%

Olivier Faure
<1%

Fabien Roussel
<1%

François Asselineau
<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
<1%

Valérie Pécresse
<1%

Élisabeth Borne
<1%

Carole Delga
<1%

Ségolène Royal
<1%

Clémentine Autain
<1%

Michel Barnier
<1%

François Bayrou
<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
<1%

Mathilde Panot
<1%

Clémence Guetté
<1%
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment for the 2027 French presidential race centers on a tight contest between National Rally's Jordan Bardella at 24.5% and centrist Édouard Philippe at 21%, reflecting polls like recent Ifop surveys showing Bardella leading narrowly amid Marine Le Pen's legal troubles over alleged party fund misuse, which have halved her odds to 9.5%. Left-wing Jean-Luc Mélenchon's static 9.5% underscores fragmentation across blocs, with no dominant center-right or socialist figure emerging post-Macron's term limit. This keeps the field bunched, as traders weigh RN internal dynamics and Philippe's Horizons momentum. Separation could arise from Le Pen's trial verdict in late 2024, EU policy shifts, or 2026 legislative outcomes influencing alliances and voter turnout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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