Incumbent Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul's improved job approval ratings—reaching 53% in the February Siena poll and 46% in Marist—coupled with consistent double-digit leads over Republican frontrunner Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman (51-31 Siena, 50-33 Marist), drive trader consensus pricing Democrats above 90% to win New York's November 3 gubernatorial election. New York's lopsided Democratic registration edge and historical GOP struggles statewide, including Lee Zeldin's narrow 2022 defeat, reinforce this positioning despite a recent Blakeman internal poll showing a tighter 52-43 margin. June 23 primaries could introduce uncertainty via nominee changes, while scandals, a weakened Democratic ticket, or a national Republican surge represent realistic upset scenarios.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Nueva York
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Nueva York
$25,508 Vol.
$25,508 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demócrata
92%
Republicano
8%
$25,508 Vol.
$25,508 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demócrata
$25,508 Vol.
92%
Republicano
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul's improved job approval ratings—reaching 53% in the February Siena poll and 46% in Marist—coupled with consistent double-digit leads over Republican frontrunner Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman (51-31 Siena, 50-33 Marist), drive trader consensus pricing Democrats above 90% to win New York's November 3 gubernatorial election. New York's lopsided Democratic registration edge and historical GOP struggles statewide, including Lee Zeldin's narrow 2022 defeat, reinforce this positioning despite a recent Blakeman internal poll showing a tighter 52-43 margin. June 23 primaries could introduce uncertainty via nominee changes, while scandals, a weakened Democratic ticket, or a national Republican surge represent realistic upset scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volumen
$25,508Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul's improved job approval ratings—reaching 53% in the February Siena poll and 46% in Marist—coupled with consistent double-digit leads over Republican frontrunner Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman (51-31 Siena, 50-33 Marist), drive trader consensus pricing Democrats above 90% to win New York's November 3 gubernatorial election. New York's lopsided Democratic registration edge and historical GOP struggles statewide, including Lee Zeldin's narrow 2022 defeat, reinforce this positioning despite a recent Blakeman internal poll showing a tighter 52-43 margin. June 23 primaries could introduce uncertainty via nominee changes, while scandals, a weakened Democratic ticket, or a national Republican surge represent realistic upset scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$25,508Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul's improved job approval ratings—reaching 53% in the February Siena poll and 46% in Marist—coupled with consistent double-digit leads over Republican frontrunner Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman (51-31 Siena, 50-33 Marist), drive trader consensus pricing Democrats above 90% to win New York's November 3 gubernatorial election. New York's lopsided Democratic registration edge and historical GOP struggles statewide, including Lee Zeldin's narrow 2022 defeat, reinforce this positioning despite a recent Blakeman internal poll showing a tighter 52-43 margin. June 23 primaries could introduce uncertainty via nominee changes, while scandals, a weakened Democratic ticket, or a national Republican surge represent realistic upset scenarios.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes