Incumbent Republican Rep. Trent Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 10 primary in safely Republican MS-01 (Cook PVI R+18), setting up a general election matchup on November 3 against Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who won his primary 66%-34%. Kelly's historical dominance—winning by 35-46 points in recent cycles—combined with a fundraising edge ($738,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $65,000 as of late February) and no competitive polling underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 92.5%. While structural barriers favor the GOP hold, scenarios like a major Kelly scandal, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMS-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MS-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$25,220 Vol.
$25,220 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$25,220 Vol.
$25,220 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$15,433 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$9,787 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Trent Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 10 primary in safely Republican MS-01 (Cook PVI R+18), setting up a general election matchup on November 3 against Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who won his primary 66%-34%. Kelly's historical dominance—winning by 35-46 points in recent cycles—combined with a fundraising edge ($738,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $65,000 as of late February) and no competitive polling underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 92.5%. While structural barriers favor the GOP hold, scenarios like a major Kelly scandal, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$25,220Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Trent Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 10 primary in safely Republican MS-01 (Cook PVI R+18), setting up a general election matchup on November 3 against Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who won his primary 66%-34%. Kelly's historical dominance—winning by 35-46 points in recent cycles—combined with a fundraising edge ($738,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $65,000 as of late February) and no competitive polling underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 92.5%. While structural barriers favor the GOP hold, scenarios like a major Kelly scandal, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,220Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Trent Kelly advanced unopposed through the March 10 primary in safely Republican MS-01 (Cook PVI R+18), setting up a general election matchup on November 3 against Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, who won his primary 66%-34%. Kelly's historical dominance—winning by 35-46 points in recent cycles—combined with a fundraising edge ($738,000 cash on hand vs. Johnson's $65,000 as of late February) and no competitive polling underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 92.5%. While structural barriers favor the GOP hold, scenarios like a major Kelly scandal, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes