Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district, a Silicon Valley stronghold spanning San Mateo and Santa Clara counties with a strong Democratic partisan lean. Trader consensus reflects this through the 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party, driven by the seat's history of lopsided margins, Liccardo's 2024 victory, and his incumbency advantages ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as solid or safe Democratic. A Republican nominee could realistically advance only through an unusually strong primary performance or external shifts, though the district's voter registration and past results present significant structural barriers to an upset in the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$76,170 Vol.
$76,170 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
$76,170 Vol.
$76,170 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$48,949 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$27,220 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district, a Silicon Valley stronghold spanning San Mateo and Santa Clara counties with a strong Democratic partisan lean. Trader consensus reflects this through the 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party, driven by the seat's history of lopsided margins, Liccardo's 2024 victory, and his incumbency advantages ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as solid or safe Democratic. A Republican nominee could realistically advance only through an unusually strong primary performance or external shifts, though the district's voter registration and past results present significant structural barriers to an upset in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$76,170Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district, a Silicon Valley stronghold spanning San Mateo and Santa Clara counties with a strong Democratic partisan lean. Trader consensus reflects this through the 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party, driven by the seat's history of lopsided margins, Liccardo's 2024 victory, and his incumbency advantages ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as solid or safe Democratic. A Republican nominee could realistically advance only through an unusually strong primary performance or external shifts, though the district's voter registration and past results present significant structural barriers to an upset in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$76,170Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th congressional district, a Silicon Valley stronghold spanning San Mateo and Santa Clara counties with a strong Democratic partisan lean. Trader consensus reflects this through the 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party, driven by the seat's history of lopsided margins, Liccardo's 2024 victory, and his incumbency advantages ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as solid or safe Democratic. A Republican nominee could realistically advance only through an unusually strong primary performance or external shifts, though the district's voter registration and past results present significant structural barriers to an upset in the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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