The Silicon Valley-based California 16th congressional district’s pronounced Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo, who secured the seat in 2024 after defeating multiple primary challengers to succeed retiring Representative Anna Eshoo, benefits from established name recognition ahead of the June 2, 2026 top-two primary. Independent rating outlets including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unusually broad crossover coalition or unforeseen developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, neither of which appears imminent based on available indicators.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$76,170 Vol.
$76,170 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
$76,170 Vol.
$76,170 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$48,949 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$27,220 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Silicon Valley-based California 16th congressional district’s pronounced Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo, who secured the seat in 2024 after defeating multiple primary challengers to succeed retiring Representative Anna Eshoo, benefits from established name recognition ahead of the June 2, 2026 top-two primary. Independent rating outlets including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unusually broad crossover coalition or unforeseen developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, neither of which appears imminent based on available indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$76,170Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Silicon Valley-based California 16th congressional district’s pronounced Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo, who secured the seat in 2024 after defeating multiple primary challengers to succeed retiring Representative Anna Eshoo, benefits from established name recognition ahead of the June 2, 2026 top-two primary. Independent rating outlets including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unusually broad crossover coalition or unforeseen developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, neither of which appears imminent based on available indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$76,170Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Silicon Valley-based California 16th congressional district’s pronounced Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo, who secured the seat in 2024 after defeating multiple primary challengers to succeed retiring Representative Anna Eshoo, benefits from established name recognition ahead of the June 2, 2026 top-two primary. Independent rating outlets including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unusually broad crossover coalition or unforeseen developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, neither of which appears imminent based on available indicators.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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