Trader consensus prices a commanding 93.5% implied probability on Republican victory in Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District House race, driven by the district's strong R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Rep. Tim Burchett's unopposed position in the August 6 Republican primary following the March 10 filing deadline. Burchett's consistent landslides—69% in 2024, 68% in 2022—paired with a fundraising edge ($563,000 cash on hand vs. Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett's $16,600 as of late 2025) and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce this positioning, amid no recent polls or shifts. Challengers could emerge via a major Burchett scandal, Barnett fundraising surge, or national Democratic midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTN-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,681 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a commanding 93.5% implied probability on Republican victory in Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District House race, driven by the district's strong R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Rep. Tim Burchett's unopposed position in the August 6 Republican primary following the March 10 filing deadline. Burchett's consistent landslides—69% in 2024, 68% in 2022—paired with a fundraising edge ($563,000 cash on hand vs. Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett's $16,600 as of late 2025) and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce this positioning, amid no recent polls or shifts. Challengers could emerge via a major Burchett scandal, Barnett fundraising surge, or national Democratic midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$7,681Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a commanding 93.5% implied probability on Republican victory in Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District House race, driven by the district's strong R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Rep. Tim Burchett's unopposed position in the August 6 Republican primary following the March 10 filing deadline. Burchett's consistent landslides—69% in 2024, 68% in 2022—paired with a fundraising edge ($563,000 cash on hand vs. Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett's $16,600 as of late 2025) and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce this positioning, amid no recent polls or shifts. Challengers could emerge via a major Burchett scandal, Barnett fundraising surge, or national Democratic midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,681Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a commanding 93.5% implied probability on Republican victory in Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District House race, driven by the district's strong R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Rep. Tim Burchett's unopposed position in the August 6 Republican primary following the March 10 filing deadline. Burchett's consistent landslides—69% in 2024, 68% in 2022—paired with a fundraising edge ($563,000 cash on hand vs. Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett's $16,600 as of late 2025) and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce this positioning, amid no recent polls or shifts. Challengers could emerge via a major Burchett scandal, Barnett fundraising surge, or national Democratic midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes