Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett's dominant position in Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP at 93.5% implied probability. The district's R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Burchett's consistent 65-70% general election margins since 2018, and his superior fundraising—$563,000 cash on hand versus Democrat Michaela Barnett's $16,600 as of late 2025—cement this outlook amid no polls or credible GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 6 primaries. Scenarios that could shift odds include a Burchett scandal, unexpected primary defeat, or massive national Democratic wave, though structural advantages make these low-probability events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTN-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,681 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett's dominant position in Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP at 93.5% implied probability. The district's R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Burchett's consistent 65-70% general election margins since 2018, and his superior fundraising—$563,000 cash on hand versus Democrat Michaela Barnett's $16,600 as of late 2025—cement this outlook amid no polls or credible GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 6 primaries. Scenarios that could shift odds include a Burchett scandal, unexpected primary defeat, or massive national Democratic wave, though structural advantages make these low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$7,681Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett's dominant position in Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP at 93.5% implied probability. The district's R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Burchett's consistent 65-70% general election margins since 2018, and his superior fundraising—$563,000 cash on hand versus Democrat Michaela Barnett's $16,600 as of late 2025—cement this outlook amid no polls or credible GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 6 primaries. Scenarios that could shift odds include a Burchett scandal, unexpected primary defeat, or massive national Democratic wave, though structural advantages make these low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,681Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett's dominant position in Tennessee's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP at 93.5% implied probability. The district's R+17 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Burchett's consistent 65-70% general election margins since 2018, and his superior fundraising—$563,000 cash on hand versus Democrat Michaela Barnett's $16,600 as of late 2025—cement this outlook amid no polls or credible GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 6 primaries. Scenarios that could shift odds include a Burchett scandal, unexpected primary defeat, or massive national Democratic wave, though structural advantages make these low-probability events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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