Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Incumbent Aaron Bean secured reelection in 2024 with 57 percent of the vote in a district Donald Trump carried by 12 points, and nonpartisan raters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Bean faces a primary challenge from Anthony Valerio ahead of the August 18 primaries, while several Democrats are competing in their primary. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events in recent weeks have altered the underlying partisan dynamics or incumbency advantages that shape assessments of the November general election outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$11,781 Vol.
$11,781 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
81%
Partido Demócrata
20%
$11,781 Vol.
$11,781 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$6,745 Vol.
81%
Partido Demócrata
$5,036 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Incumbent Aaron Bean secured reelection in 2024 with 57 percent of the vote in a district Donald Trump carried by 12 points, and nonpartisan raters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Bean faces a primary challenge from Anthony Valerio ahead of the August 18 primaries, while several Democrats are competing in their primary. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events in recent weeks have altered the underlying partisan dynamics or incumbency advantages that shape assessments of the November general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volumen
$11,781Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Incumbent Aaron Bean secured reelection in 2024 with 57 percent of the vote in a district Donald Trump carried by 12 points, and nonpartisan raters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Bean faces a primary challenge from Anthony Valerio ahead of the August 18 primaries, while several Democrats are competing in their primary. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events in recent weeks have altered the underlying partisan dynamics or incumbency advantages that shape assessments of the November general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$11,781Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. Incumbent Aaron Bean secured reelection in 2024 with 57 percent of the vote in a district Donald Trump carried by 12 points, and nonpartisan raters classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Bean faces a primary challenge from Anthony Valerio ahead of the August 18 primaries, while several Democrats are competing in their primary. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events in recent weeks have altered the underlying partisan dynamics or incumbency advantages that shape assessments of the November general election outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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