Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a structural edge in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, which carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. His long tenure since 2011, consistent fundraising, and primary strength contribute to the 64.5% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Democratic challengers remain early in their June 23 primary process with no dominant candidate yet emerging to narrow the gap. Recent campaign finance reports and the absence of major redistricting changes or national shifts have kept the implied probability stable, underscoring the district’s established Republican lean despite the competitive margin suggested by current market levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
65%
Partido Demócrata
35%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,437 Vol.
65%
Partido Demócrata
$3,537 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a structural edge in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, which carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. His long tenure since 2011, consistent fundraising, and primary strength contribute to the 64.5% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Democratic challengers remain early in their June 23 primary process with no dominant candidate yet emerging to narrow the gap. Recent campaign finance reports and the absence of major redistricting changes or national shifts have kept the implied probability stable, underscoring the district’s established Republican lean despite the competitive margin suggested by current market levels.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$8,974Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a structural edge in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, which carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. His long tenure since 2011, consistent fundraising, and primary strength contribute to the 64.5% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Democratic challengers remain early in their June 23 primary process with no dominant candidate yet emerging to narrow the gap. Recent campaign finance reports and the absence of major redistricting changes or national shifts have kept the implied probability stable, underscoring the district’s established Republican lean despite the competitive margin suggested by current market levels.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$8,974Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a structural edge in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, which carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. His long tenure since 2011, consistent fundraising, and primary strength contribute to the 64.5% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Democratic challengers remain early in their June 23 primary process with no dominant candidate yet emerging to narrow the gap. Recent campaign finance reports and the absence of major redistricting changes or national shifts have kept the implied probability stable, underscoring the district’s established Republican lean despite the competitive margin suggested by current market levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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