Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris (R) dominates trader consensus at 75.5% odds to win MD-01, anchored by the district's R+8 Cook PVI, his 59.6% 2024 general election victory, and $1.65 million cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Democrats trail at 18.5% amid a fragmented June 23 primary field—Dan Schwartz, Victor Guidice, George Walish, and Randi White—despite Gov. Wes Moore's April 28 endorsement of Schwartz and over $500,000 raised by him. Harris faces only nominal GOP primary opposition from Christopher Bruneau, reinforcing historical midterm incumbency advantages in safe seats absent polling shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
76%
Partido Demócrata
19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,164 Vol.
76%
Partido Demócrata
$2,580 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris (R) dominates trader consensus at 75.5% odds to win MD-01, anchored by the district's R+8 Cook PVI, his 59.6% 2024 general election victory, and $1.65 million cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Democrats trail at 18.5% amid a fragmented June 23 primary field—Dan Schwartz, Victor Guidice, George Walish, and Randi White—despite Gov. Wes Moore's April 28 endorsement of Schwartz and over $500,000 raised by him. Harris faces only nominal GOP primary opposition from Christopher Bruneau, reinforcing historical midterm incumbency advantages in safe seats absent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$7,745Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris (R) dominates trader consensus at 75.5% odds to win MD-01, anchored by the district's R+8 Cook PVI, his 59.6% 2024 general election victory, and $1.65 million cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Democrats trail at 18.5% amid a fragmented June 23 primary field—Dan Schwartz, Victor Guidice, George Walish, and Randi White—despite Gov. Wes Moore's April 28 endorsement of Schwartz and over $500,000 raised by him. Harris faces only nominal GOP primary opposition from Christopher Bruneau, reinforcing historical midterm incumbency advantages in safe seats absent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,745Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Andy Harris (R) dominates trader consensus at 75.5% odds to win MD-01, anchored by the district's R+8 Cook PVI, his 59.6% 2024 general election victory, and $1.65 million cash-on-hand edge as of late March. Democrats trail at 18.5% amid a fragmented June 23 primary field—Dan Schwartz, Victor Guidice, George Walish, and Randi White—despite Gov. Wes Moore's April 28 endorsement of Schwartz and over $500,000 raised by him. Harris faces only nominal GOP primary opposition from Christopher Bruneau, reinforcing historical midterm incumbency advantages in safe seats absent polling shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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