Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism about Mojtaba Khamenei, son of Iran's Supreme Leader, leaving the country, with low implied probabilities amid a lack of credible evidence. No official statements, verified reports from state media, or primary sources confirm any departure or exile plans, despite periodic rumors on social media tied to ongoing domestic unrest, protests, and escalated Israel-Iran tensions following recent airstrikes and assassinations in Tehran. Opposition claims portray him as a key regime figure overseeing security, but unsubstantiated speculation drives fringe sentiment rather than market shifts. Watch for Supreme Leader health updates or major escalations, which could amplify succession rumors influencing odds.