Market icon

¿Extensión mínima del hielo marino ártico este verano?

4,6-4,8 millones de km² 39%

4.4-4.6 millones de km² 25%

4,0-4,2 millones km² 21%

<4 millones km² 18%

NEW

Reglas

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$562
Fecha de finalización
Oct 1, 2026
Creado en
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Market icon

¿Extensión mínima del hielo marino ártico este verano?

4,6-4,8 millones de km² 39%

4.4-4.6 millones de km² 25%

4,0-4,2 millones km² 21%

<4 millones km² 18%

NEW

<4 millones km²

$243 Vol.

18%

4,0-4,2 millones km²

$40 Vol.

21%

4,2-4,4 millones de km²

$93 Vol.

11%

4.4-4.6 millones de km²

$35 Vol.

25%

4,6-4,8 millones de km²

$45 Vol.

39%

4.8-5 millones de km²

$45 Vol.

3%

5+ millones de km²

$61 Vol.

6%

Acerca de

Volumen
$562
Fecha de finalización
Oct 1, 2026
Creado en
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.