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Política·Noem

¿Markwayne Mullin confirmado como Secretario del DHS por...?

Market icon
Política·Noem

¿Markwayne Mullin confirmado como Secretario del DHS por...?

$46,953 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$46,953 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de marzo

$46,953 Vol.

100%

30 de abril

$0 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$46,953
Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Senator Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) has not been nominated by President-elect Donald Trump for Secretary of Homeland Security, with Trump announcing South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem as his pick on November 29, 2024. This absence of nomination is the primary driver of trader consensus against confirmation, as Senate approval requires an initial presidential selection followed by committee review in the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee and a simple majority floor vote—feasible under the GOP's 53-47 majority but irrelevant without a nomination. No public statements or transition team signals indicate Mullin as a contender. Confirmation hearings for cabinet nominees are slated to begin in early January 2025 post-inauguration, though Mullin's market hinges on any late surprise shift in selections amid ongoing transition dynamics.

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Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Markwayne Mullin confirmado como Secretario del DHS por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de marzo" con 100%, seguido de "30 de abril" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Markwayne Mullin confirmado como Secretario del DHS por...?" ha generado $47K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Markwayne Mullin confirmado como Secretario del DHS por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Markwayne Mullin confirmado como Secretario del DHS por...?" es "31 de marzo" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de abril" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Markwayne Mullin confirmado como Secretario del DHS por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.