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Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maine

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Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maine

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
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Demócrata

$0 Vol.

90%

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Republicano

$0 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With primaries set for June 9 under ranked-choice voting, trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 90% in the open Maine gubernatorial contest following term-limited Gov. Janet Mills's exit, reflecting the state's partisan lean where Democrats secured victories in 2018 and 2022. Recent polls as of March 23 show Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 31%, ahead of Shenna Bellows and Troy Jackson, while Republican frontrunner Bobby Charles holds 26-28% amid high undecideds exceeding 30% and a fragmented eight-candidate field. No general election matchups yet poll-tested, but forecaster ratings like Cook Political Report's "Likely D" capture the perceived Democratic structural edge and lack of GOP consolidation, though national trends or nominee strength could shift dynamics before November 3.

With primaries set for June 9 under ranked-choice voting, trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 90% in the open Maine gubernatorial contest following term-limited Gov. Janet Mills's exit, reflecting the state's partisan lean where Democrats secured victories in 2018 and 2022. Recent polls as of March 23 show Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 31%, ahead of Shenna Bellows and Troy Jackson, while Republican frontrunner Bobby Charles holds 26-28% amid high undecideds exceeding 30% and a fragmented eight-candidate field. No general election matchups yet poll-tested, but forecaster ratings like Cook Political Report's "Likely D" capture the perceived Democratic structural edge and lack of GOP consolidation, though national trends or nominee strength could shift dynamics before November 3.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With primaries set for June 9 under ranked-choice voting, trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 90% in the open Maine gubernatorial contest following term-limited Gov. Janet Mills's exit, reflecting the state's partisan lean where Democrats secured victories in 2018 and 2022. Recent polls as of March 23 show Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 31%, ahead of Shenna Bellows and Troy Jackson, while Republican frontrunner Bobby Charles holds 26-28% amid high undecideds exceeding 30% and a fragmented eight-candidate field. No general election matchups yet poll-tested, but forecaster ratings like Cook Political Report's "Likely D" capture the perceived Democratic structural edge and lack of GOP consolidation, though national trends or nominee strength could shift dynamics before November 3.

With primaries set for June 9 under ranked-choice voting, trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 90% in the open Maine gubernatorial contest following term-limited Gov. Janet Mills's exit, reflecting the state's partisan lean where Democrats secured victories in 2018 and 2022. Recent polls as of March 23 show Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 31%, ahead of Shenna Bellows and Troy Jackson, while Republican frontrunner Bobby Charles holds 26-28% amid high undecideds exceeding 30% and a fragmented eight-candidate field. No general election matchups yet poll-tested, but forecaster ratings like Cook Political Report's "Likely D" capture the perceived Democratic structural edge and lack of GOP consolidation, though national trends or nominee strength could shift dynamics before November 3.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maine" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Demócrata" con 90%, seguido de "Republicano" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 90¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maine" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Oct 13, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maine", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maine" es "Demócrata" con 90%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Republicano" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maine" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.