Official results from Bolivia's La Paz municipal election have solidified César Dockweiler's position as the decisive winner, with traders pricing him at virtually 100% implied probability after his overwhelming margin in vote tallies reported by the Plurinational Electoral Organ. Pre-election polling consistently showed Dockweiler, backed by strong community organizing and opposition to MAS party incumbents, leading rivals like Iván Arias by double digits amid high turnout. This commanding trader consensus reflects certified counts from electoral authorities, minimizing upset risks. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a full recount or court intervention, though no major disputes have emerged from observers or opponents as of final tabulations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones municipales de La Paz (Bolivia)
Ganador de las elecciones municipales de La Paz (Bolivia)
César Dockweiler 100.0%
Xavier Iturralde <1%
Jhonny Plata <1%
Waldo Albarracín <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.

Xavier Iturralde
No

Jhonny Plata
No

Waldo Albarracín
No

César Dockweiler
Sí

Pierre Chain
No

Miguel Roca
No

Óscar Sogliano
No

Paul Coca
No

Carlos Eduardo Palenque
No

Iván Arias
No

Rodrigo Rivera
No

Alejandro Reyes
No
César Dockweiler 100.0%
Xavier Iturralde <1%
Jhonny Plata <1%
Waldo Albarracín <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.

Xavier Iturralde
No

Jhonny Plata
No

Waldo Albarracín
No

César Dockweiler
Sí

Pierre Chain
No

Miguel Roca
No

Óscar Sogliano
No

Paul Coca
No

Carlos Eduardo Palenque
No

Iván Arias
No

Rodrigo Rivera
No

Alejandro Reyes
No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Official results from Bolivia's La Paz municipal election have solidified César Dockweiler's position as the decisive winner, with traders pricing him at virtually 100% implied probability after his overwhelming margin in vote tallies reported by the Plurinational Electoral Organ. Pre-election polling consistently showed Dockweiler, backed by strong community organizing and opposition to MAS party incumbents, leading rivals like Iván Arias by double digits amid high turnout. This commanding trader consensus reflects certified counts from electoral authorities, minimizing upset risks. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a full recount or court intervention, though no major disputes have emerged from observers or opponents as of final tabulations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes