Market icon
Política·Trump

¿Karoline Leavitt fuera antes del 31 de marzo?

Market icon
Política·Trump

¿Karoline Leavitt fuera antes del 31 de marzo?

Sí

1% chance
Polymarket

$14,715 Vol.

Sí

1% chance
Polymarket

$14,715 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump's recent nomination of Karoline Leavitt as White House Press Secretary, announced in November 2024, drives the near-unanimous trader consensus at 98.4% for "No," reflecting her seamless path to the role without Senate confirmation requirements typical of cabinet positions. As a loyal Trump campaign alumna and former RNC press aide, she enters amid a stable transition period post-inauguration on January 20, 2025, with no reported controversies, internal White House friction, or performance issues in the brief post-nomination window. This short timeline to March 31 limits exposure to risks like scandals, health events, or abrupt resignations, though late-breaking developments such as a major press mishap or administration reshuffle could still shift odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$14,715
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump's recent nomination of Karoline Leavitt as White House Press Secretary, announced in November 2024, drives the near-unanimous trader consensus at 98.4% for "No," reflecting her seamless path to the role without Senate confirmation requirements typical of cabinet positions. As a loyal Trump campaign alumna and former RNC press aide, she enters amid a stable transition period post-inauguration on January 20, 2025, with no reported controversies, internal White House friction, or performance issues in the brief post-nomination window. This short timeline to March 31 limits exposure to risks like scandals, health events, or abrupt resignations, though late-breaking developments such as a major press mishap or administration reshuffle could still shift odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$14,715
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Karoline Leavitt fuera antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Karoline Leavitt fuera antes del 31 de marzo?" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 1¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 1% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Karoline Leavitt fuera antes del 31 de marzo?" ha generado $14.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 13, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Karoline Leavitt fuera antes del 31 de marzo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Karoline Leavitt fuera antes del 31 de marzo?" es "¿Karoline Leavitt fuera antes del 31 de marzo?" con solo 1%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Karoline Leavitt fuera antes del 31 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.