Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100% implied probability) for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching 22°C or higher on March 28, driven by official forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international services projecting daytime highs of 23–24°C under hazy sunshine and overcast skies with light winds. Morning observations at Wuhan stations show temperatures starting at 16°C amid fog, with rapid afternoon warming expected due to southerly flows and high-pressure ridging—consistent with late-March climatology where averages exceed 20°C. Ensemble model agreement reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold front or persistent heavy cloud cover suppressing peak heating, though current steering patterns indicate stability; final resolution awaits official Hankou station data post-sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$81,349 Vol.
$81,349 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$81,349 Vol.
$81,349 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
12°C or below
$7,305 Vol.
No
13°C
$3,884 Vol.
No
14°C
$19,917 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,543 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,641 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,441 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,085 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,298 Vol.
No
20°C
$9,962 Vol.
No
21°C
$8,504 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$6,771 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100% implied probability) for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching 22°C or higher on March 28, driven by official forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international services projecting daytime highs of 23–24°C under hazy sunshine and overcast skies with light winds. Morning observations at Wuhan stations show temperatures starting at 16°C amid fog, with rapid afternoon warming expected due to southerly flows and high-pressure ridging—consistent with late-March climatology where averages exceed 20°C. Ensemble model agreement reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold front or persistent heavy cloud cover suppressing peak heating, though current steering patterns indicate stability; final resolution awaits official Hankou station data post-sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Volumen
$81,349Fecha de finalización
Mar 28, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100% implied probability) for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching 22°C or higher on March 28, driven by official forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international services projecting daytime highs of 23–24°C under hazy sunshine and overcast skies with light winds. Morning observations at Wuhan stations show temperatures starting at 16°C amid fog, with rapid afternoon warming expected due to southerly flows and high-pressure ridging—consistent with late-March climatology where averages exceed 20°C. Ensemble model agreement reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold front or persistent heavy cloud cover suppressing peak heating, though current steering patterns indicate stability; final resolution awaits official Hankou station data post-sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$81,349Fecha de finalización
Mar 28, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100% implied probability) for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching 22°C or higher on March 28, driven by official forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international services projecting daytime highs of 23–24°C under hazy sunshine and overcast skies with light winds. Morning observations at Wuhan stations show temperatures starting at 16°C amid fog, with rapid afternoon warming expected due to southerly flows and high-pressure ridging—consistent with late-March climatology where averages exceed 20°C. Ensemble model agreement reinforces this, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold front or persistent heavy cloud cover suppressing peak heating, though current steering patterns indicate stability; final resolution awaits official Hankou station data post-sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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