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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

27°C 34%

26°C 26%

28°C 24%

29°C 8%

Polymarket

$53,744 Vol.

27°C 34%

26°C 26%

28°C 24%

29°C 8%

Polymarket

$53,744 Vol.

21°C or below

$14,270 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$7,370 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$10,617 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$3,605 Vol.

1%

25°C

$2,071 Vol.

6%

26°C

$1,912 Vol.

26%

27°C

$2,527 Vol.

34%

28°C

$2,009 Vol.

24%

29°C

$2,522 Vol.

8%

30°C

$2,834 Vol.

2%

31°C or higher

$4,032 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, as aggregated by major forecasters, show an ensemble mean high temperature of around 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 26°C and 28°C. This positioning reflects partial cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with southeast winds at 10-15 km/h moderating sea-breeze effects and limiting peaks above 28°C, while humid conditions (near 70%) suppress convective heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon low-cloud dissipation—favoring 28°C if sunnier or 26°C with persistent overcast—and urban heat island amplification at the airport station. Uncertainty persists until final China Meteorological Administration observations resolve post-sunset March 29.

Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, as aggregated by major forecasters, show an ensemble mean high temperature of around 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 26°C and 28°C. This positioning reflects partial cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with southeast winds at 10-15 km/h moderating sea-breeze effects and limiting peaks above 28°C, while humid conditions (near 70%) suppress convective heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon low-cloud dissipation—favoring 28°C if sunnier or 26°C with persistent overcast—and urban heat island amplification at the airport station. Uncertainty persists until final China Meteorological Administration observations resolve post-sunset March 29.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, as aggregated by major forecasters, show an ensemble mean high temperature of around 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 26°C and 28°C. This positioning reflects partial cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with southeast winds at 10-15 km/h moderating sea-breeze effects and limiting peaks above 28°C, while humid conditions (near 70%) suppress convective heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon low-cloud dissipation—favoring 28°C if sunnier or 26°C with persistent overcast—and urban heat island amplification at the airport station. Uncertainty persists until final China Meteorological Administration observations resolve post-sunset March 29.

Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, as aggregated by major forecasters, show an ensemble mean high temperature of around 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 26°C and 28°C. This positioning reflects partial cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with southeast winds at 10-15 km/h moderating sea-breeze effects and limiting peaks above 28°C, while humid conditions (near 70%) suppress convective heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon low-cloud dissipation—favoring 28°C if sunnier or 26°C with persistent overcast—and urban heat island amplification at the airport station. Uncertainty persists until final China Meteorological Administration observations resolve post-sunset March 29.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "27°C" con 34%, seguido de "26°C" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 34¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?" ha generado $53.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?" es "27°C" con 34%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "26°C" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.