Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 21°C high temperature in Shanghai on April 1, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's March 29 forecast projecting exactly that peak amid clearing skies and a building high-pressure ridge, corroborated by global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS showing consistent afternoon maxima around 20-21°C. Current observations from mid-afternoon—reaching 20°C (68°F) under hazy sunshine—align with this outlook, slightly warmer than early-April climatological averages of 18-19°C at the Xujiahui station due to reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow. With the day advancing, uncertainty is minimal; only a rare late-afternoon heat burst from convective activity or measurement revision at the official Shanghai station could challenge this positioning, pending final end-of-day readout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
21°C 99.9%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
23°C <1%
$407,561 Vol.
$407,561 Vol.
1 abr 2026
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.9%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
23°C <1%
$407,561 Vol.
$407,561 Vol.
1 abr 2026
20°C
$59,643 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$56,666 Vol.
100%
22°C
$42,152 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31,016 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$27,946 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 21°C high temperature in Shanghai on April 1, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's March 29 forecast projecting exactly that peak amid clearing skies and a building high-pressure ridge, corroborated by global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS showing consistent afternoon maxima around 20-21°C. Current observations from mid-afternoon—reaching 20°C (68°F) under hazy sunshine—align with this outlook, slightly warmer than early-April climatological averages of 18-19°C at the Xujiahui station due to reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow. With the day advancing, uncertainty is minimal; only a rare late-afternoon heat burst from convective activity or measurement revision at the official Shanghai station could challenge this positioning, pending final end-of-day readout.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Volumen
$407,561Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 21°C high temperature in Shanghai on April 1, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's March 29 forecast projecting exactly that peak amid clearing skies and a building high-pressure ridge, corroborated by global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS showing consistent afternoon maxima around 20-21°C. Current observations from mid-afternoon—reaching 20°C (68°F) under hazy sunshine—align with this outlook, slightly warmer than early-April climatological averages of 18-19°C at the Xujiahui station due to reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow. With the day advancing, uncertainty is minimal; only a rare late-afternoon heat burst from convective activity or measurement revision at the official Shanghai station could challenge this positioning, pending final end-of-day readout.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$407,561Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 21°C high temperature in Shanghai on April 1, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's March 29 forecast projecting exactly that peak amid clearing skies and a building high-pressure ridge, corroborated by global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS showing consistent afternoon maxima around 20-21°C. Current observations from mid-afternoon—reaching 20°C (68°F) under hazy sunshine—align with this outlook, slightly warmer than early-April climatological averages of 18-19°C at the Xujiahui station due to reduced cloud cover and light southerly flow. With the day advancing, uncertainty is minimal; only a rare late-afternoon heat burst from convective activity or measurement revision at the official Shanghai station could challenge this positioning, pending final end-of-day readout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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