Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward maximum temperatures of 33–35°C for Lucknow on April 5, with 33°C or below at 34.5% and 34°C at 30.5%, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts of below-normal daytime highs amid an active western disturbance ushering isolated thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh through April 5. Recent observations show clear skies yielding 37.5°C maxima on April 2, but model consensus anticipates suppressed insolation and possible evaporative cooling from light rain, capping peaks below historical early-April averages of 36–39°C. Key differentiators include variability in cloud thickness and thunderstorm timing—partial sun could nudge toward 35°C (21.5%), while denser overcast favors sub-34°C outcomes. Watch IMD's daily bulletins for April 3–4 updates refining these uncertainties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
33°C or below 38%
34°C 31%
35°C 14%
36°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
33°C or below
38%
34°C
31%
35°C
14%
36°C
12%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 38%
34°C 31%
35°C 14%
36°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
33°C or below
$279 Vol.
38%
34°C
$302 Vol.
31%
35°C
$88 Vol.
14%
36°C
$62 Vol.
12%
37°C
$73 Vol.
6%
38°C
$306 Vol.
1%
39°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$210 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward maximum temperatures of 33–35°C for Lucknow on April 5, with 33°C or below at 34.5% and 34°C at 30.5%, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts of below-normal daytime highs amid an active western disturbance ushering isolated thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh through April 5. Recent observations show clear skies yielding 37.5°C maxima on April 2, but model consensus anticipates suppressed insolation and possible evaporative cooling from light rain, capping peaks below historical early-April averages of 36–39°C. Key differentiators include variability in cloud thickness and thunderstorm timing—partial sun could nudge toward 35°C (21.5%), while denser overcast favors sub-34°C outcomes. Watch IMD's daily bulletins for April 3–4 updates refining these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$2,311Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward maximum temperatures of 33–35°C for Lucknow on April 5, with 33°C or below at 34.5% and 34°C at 30.5%, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts of below-normal daytime highs amid an active western disturbance ushering isolated thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh through April 5. Recent observations show clear skies yielding 37.5°C maxima on April 2, but model consensus anticipates suppressed insolation and possible evaporative cooling from light rain, capping peaks below historical early-April averages of 36–39°C. Key differentiators include variability in cloud thickness and thunderstorm timing—partial sun could nudge toward 35°C (21.5%), while denser overcast favors sub-34°C outcomes. Watch IMD's daily bulletins for April 3–4 updates refining these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,311Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward maximum temperatures of 33–35°C for Lucknow on April 5, with 33°C or below at 34.5% and 34°C at 30.5%, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts of below-normal daytime highs amid an active western disturbance ushering isolated thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh through April 5. Recent observations show clear skies yielding 37.5°C maxima on April 2, but model consensus anticipates suppressed insolation and possible evaporative cooling from light rain, capping peaks below historical early-April averages of 36–39°C. Key differentiators include variability in cloud thickness and thunderstorm timing—partial sun could nudge toward 35°C (21.5%), while denser overcast favors sub-34°C outcomes. Watch IMD's daily bulletins for April 3–4 updates refining these uncertainties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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