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¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 2 de abril?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 2 de abril?

Mar 29

Apr 2

Mar 29

Apr 2

52-53°F 36%

50-51°F 30%

54-55°F 14%

48-49°F 13%

Polymarket
NEW

52-53°F 36%

50-51°F 30%

54-55°F 14%

48-49°F 13%

Polymarket
NEW

39°F o menos

$214 Vol.

2%

40-41°F

$56 Vol.

5%

42-43°F

$5 Vol.

5%

44-45°F

$5 Vol.

9%

46-47°F

$5 Vol.

10%

48-49°F

$62 Vol.

13%

50-51°F

$72 Vol.

30%

52-53°F

$50 Vol.

36%

54-55°F

$18 Vol.

14%

56-57 °F

$5 Vol.

5%

58°F o más

$20 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seattle's highest temperature on April 2, with ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 52-53°F amid spread from persistent marine stratus potentially capping highs at 39°F or below to emerging ridging allowing 58°F or higher. Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight a transition from wet, cool conditions over the past week—featuring lowland rain and Cascade snow—to drier weather under weak high pressure, but model disagreements on low-level onshore flow strength and Puget Sound convergence zone activity create the tight race. NOAA's latest spring outlook favors 40-50% above-normal temperatures, boosting warmer bins, while daily forecast updates through Monday will refine probabilities as resolution nears.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seattle's highest temperature on April 2, with ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 52-53°F amid spread from persistent marine stratus potentially capping highs at 39°F or below to emerging ridging allowing 58°F or higher. Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight a transition from wet, cool conditions over the past week—featuring lowland rain and Cascade snow—to drier weather under weak high pressure, but model disagreements on low-level onshore flow strength and Puget Sound convergence zone activity create the tight race. NOAA's latest spring outlook favors 40-50% above-normal temperatures, boosting warmer bins, while daily forecast updates through Monday will refine probabilities as resolution nears.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seattle's highest temperature on April 2, with ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 52-53°F amid spread from persistent marine stratus potentially capping highs at 39°F or below to emerging ridging allowing 58°F or higher. Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight a transition from wet, cool conditions over the past week—featuring lowland rain and Cascade snow—to drier weather under weak high pressure, but model disagreements on low-level onshore flow strength and Puget Sound convergence zone activity create the tight race. NOAA's latest spring outlook favors 40-50% above-normal temperatures, boosting warmer bins, while daily forecast updates through Monday will refine probabilities as resolution nears.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Seattle's highest temperature on April 2, with ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 52-53°F amid spread from persistent marine stratus potentially capping highs at 39°F or below to emerging ridging allowing 58°F or higher. Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight a transition from wet, cool conditions over the past week—featuring lowland rain and Cascade snow—to drier weather under weak high pressure, but model disagreements on low-level onshore flow strength and Puget Sound convergence zone activity create the tight race. NOAA's latest spring outlook favors 40-50% above-normal temperatures, boosting warmer bins, while daily forecast updates through Monday will refine probabilities as resolution nears.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 2 de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "52-53°F" con 36%, seguido de "50-51°F" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 2 de abril?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 2 de abril?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 2 de abril?" es "52-53°F" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "50-51°F" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 2 de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.