Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France models point to a Paris high temperature clustered around 12°C on March 29, reflecting trader-implied probabilities with 12°C at 27.5% and 13°C at 24.5%, amid mild spring conditions under a high-pressure ridge over Western Europe. This setup follows stable model runs over the past 48 hours, with minimal changes from recent observations of 10-14°C highs; slight divergences arise from cloud cover variability and southerly winds potentially boosting 13°C odds, while thicker overcast could cap at 11°C. Climatological March averages hover near 12°C, underscoring the tight market as official hourly updates from Météo-France tomorrow refine the outlook before resolution based on verified station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 29 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 29 de marzo?
12°C 28%
13°C 25%
11°C 19%
10°C 13%
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
4%
8°C
4%
9°C
6%
10°C
13%
11°C
19%
12°C
28%
13°C
25%
14°C
11%
15°C
4%
16°C o más
5%
12°C 28%
13°C 25%
11°C 19%
10°C 13%
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
4%
8°C
4%
9°C
6%
10°C
13%
11°C
19%
12°C
28%
13°C
25%
14°C
11%
15°C
4%
16°C o más
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France models point to a Paris high temperature clustered around 12°C on March 29, reflecting trader-implied probabilities with 12°C at 27.5% and 13°C at 24.5%, amid mild spring conditions under a high-pressure ridge over Western Europe. This setup follows stable model runs over the past 48 hours, with minimal changes from recent observations of 10-14°C highs; slight divergences arise from cloud cover variability and southerly winds potentially boosting 13°C odds, while thicker overcast could cap at 11°C. Climatological March averages hover near 12°C, underscoring the tight market as official hourly updates from Météo-France tomorrow refine the outlook before resolution based on verified station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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