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¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 2 de abril?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 2 de abril?

Mar 29

Apr 2

Mar 29

Apr 2

68-69°F 27%

66-67°F 25%

72-73°F 19%

70-71°F 17%

Polymarket
NEW

68-69°F 27%

66-67°F 25%

72-73°F 19%

70-71°F 17%

Polymarket
NEW

59°F o menos

$1,956 Vol.

6%

60-61°F

$211 Vol.

4%

62-63°F

$215 Vol.

13%

64-65°F

$40 Vol.

10%

66-67°F

$20 Vol.

25%

68-69°F

$48 Vol.

27%

70-71°F

$52 Vol.

17%

72-73°F

$36 Vol.

19%

74-75°F

$179 Vol.

5%

76-77°F

$194 Vol.

4%

78°F o más

$467 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts indicating a high near 68°F for downtown Los Angeles on April 2, shaped by persistent onshore flow and extensive marine layer from the Pacific, which caps boundary-layer temperatures below climatological norms of 71°F. The tight clustering between 66-67°F (25%) and 68-69°F (30%) stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles: stronger low-level stratus and southwesterly winds favor the lower bin, while earlier afternoon clearing could lift peaks to 70-71°F (17.5%) or 72-73°F (19%). Recent March record heat has transitioned to cooler marine-dominated patterns, with minimal inland advection. Watch for NWS 12z updates and HRRR model runs resolving clearing timing before the April 2 resolution window.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts indicating a high near 68°F for downtown Los Angeles on April 2, shaped by persistent onshore flow and extensive marine layer from the Pacific, which caps boundary-layer temperatures below climatological norms of 71°F. The tight clustering between 66-67°F (25%) and 68-69°F (30%) stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles: stronger low-level stratus and southwesterly winds favor the lower bin, while earlier afternoon clearing could lift peaks to 70-71°F (17.5%) or 72-73°F (19%). Recent March record heat has transitioned to cooler marine-dominated patterns, with minimal inland advection. Watch for NWS 12z updates and HRRR model runs resolving clearing timing before the April 2 resolution window.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts indicating a high near 68°F for downtown Los Angeles on April 2, shaped by persistent onshore flow and extensive marine layer from the Pacific, which caps boundary-layer temperatures below climatological norms of 71°F. The tight clustering between 66-67°F (25%) and 68-69°F (30%) stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles: stronger low-level stratus and southwesterly winds favor the lower bin, while earlier afternoon clearing could lift peaks to 70-71°F (17.5%) or 72-73°F (19%). Recent March record heat has transitioned to cooler marine-dominated patterns, with minimal inland advection. Watch for NWS 12z updates and HRRR model runs resolving clearing timing before the April 2 resolution window.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts indicating a high near 68°F for downtown Los Angeles on April 2, shaped by persistent onshore flow and extensive marine layer from the Pacific, which caps boundary-layer temperatures below climatological norms of 71°F. The tight clustering between 66-67°F (25%) and 68-69°F (30%) stems from model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles: stronger low-level stratus and southwesterly winds favor the lower bin, while earlier afternoon clearing could lift peaks to 70-71°F (17.5%) or 72-73°F (19%). Recent March record heat has transitioned to cooler marine-dominated patterns, with minimal inland advection. Watch for NWS 12z updates and HRRR model runs resolving clearing timing before the April 2 resolution window.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 2 de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "68-69°F" con 27%, seguido de "66-67°F" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 2 de abril?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 2 de abril?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 2 de abril?" es "68-69°F" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "66-67°F" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 2 de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.