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¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 2 de abril?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 2 de abril?

Mar 29

Apr 2

Mar 29

Apr 2

22°C 25%

21°C 22%

25°C 17%

23°C 14%

Polymarket
NEW

22°C 25%

21°C 22%

25°C 17%

23°C 14%

Polymarket
NEW

17°C o menos

$469 Vol.

3%

18°C

$403 Vol.

8%

19°C

$88 Vol.

11%

20°C

$93 Vol.

11%

21°C

$71 Vol.

24%

22°C

$108 Vol.

25%

23°C

$71 Vol.

22%

24°C

$61 Vol.

16%

25°C

$71 Vol.

17%

26°C

$75 Vol.

13%

27°C o más

$454 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned ensemble models like ECMWF project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 2 at around 23°C under considerable cloudiness with a 25% precipitation chance, driving the tight trader consensus across 21–23°C outcomes at 25–28% implied probabilities each. This reflects typical early-April conditions in the humid Sichuan Basin, where frequent low clouds and temperature inversions cap daytime heating, with minor variations hinging on cloud breaks or light winds—persistent overcast favoring 21°C, partial clearing pushing toward 23–24°C. Historical early-April highs average 21°C, and no major atmospheric shifts occurred in the past 48 hours. Daily model updates through April 1 will refine uncertainty as resolution nears.

Latest short-range forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned ensemble models like ECMWF project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 2 at around 23°C under considerable cloudiness with a 25% precipitation chance, driving the tight trader consensus across 21–23°C outcomes at 25–28% implied probabilities each. This reflects typical early-April conditions in the humid Sichuan Basin, where frequent low clouds and temperature inversions cap daytime heating, with minor variations hinging on cloud breaks or light winds—persistent overcast favoring 21°C, partial clearing pushing toward 23–24°C. Historical early-April highs average 21°C, and no major atmospheric shifts occurred in the past 48 hours. Daily model updates through April 1 will refine uncertainty as resolution nears.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned ensemble models like ECMWF project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 2 at around 23°C under considerable cloudiness with a 25% precipitation chance, driving the tight trader consensus across 21–23°C outcomes at 25–28% implied probabilities each. This reflects typical early-April conditions in the humid Sichuan Basin, where frequent low clouds and temperature inversions cap daytime heating, with minor variations hinging on cloud breaks or light winds—persistent overcast favoring 21°C, partial clearing pushing toward 23–24°C. Historical early-April highs average 21°C, and no major atmospheric shifts occurred in the past 48 hours. Daily model updates through April 1 will refine uncertainty as resolution nears.

Latest short-range forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned ensemble models like ECMWF project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 2 at around 23°C under considerable cloudiness with a 25% precipitation chance, driving the tight trader consensus across 21–23°C outcomes at 25–28% implied probabilities each. This reflects typical early-April conditions in the humid Sichuan Basin, where frequent low clouds and temperature inversions cap daytime heating, with minor variations hinging on cloud breaks or light winds—persistent overcast favoring 21°C, partial clearing pushing toward 23–24°C. Historical early-April highs average 21°C, and no major atmospheric shifts occurred in the past 48 hours. Daily model updates through April 1 will refine uncertainty as resolution nears.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 2 de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "22°C" con 25%, seguido de "21°C" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 2 de abril?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 2 de abril?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 2 de abril?" es "22°C" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "21°C" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 2 de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.