National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on March 29 indicate a high temperature clustering around 50-53°F, aligning with trader consensus where 50-51°F leads at 28% implied probability, closely trailed by 52-53°F and 48-49°F outcomes. This reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing persistent northwest flow ushering cool marine air, capping highs under persistent low clouds and light onshore breezes typical of late March climatology (historical average high ~54°F). Slight disagreements emerge in cloud cover evolution—thicker stratus could hold temps nearer 48-49°F, while brief breaks might nudge toward 54-55°F. Updated 12Z model guidance expected later today, with resolution based on official Sea-Tac observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on March 29?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?
50-51°F 28%
52-53°F 21%
48-49°F 20%
54-55°F 16%
37°F or below
1%
38-39°F
2%
40-41°F
2%
42-43°F
5%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
6%
48-49°F
20%
50-51°F
28%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
16%
56°F or higher
10%
50-51°F 28%
52-53°F 21%
48-49°F 20%
54-55°F 16%
37°F or below
1%
38-39°F
2%
40-41°F
2%
42-43°F
5%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
6%
48-49°F
20%
50-51°F
28%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
16%
56°F or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on March 29 indicate a high temperature clustering around 50-53°F, aligning with trader consensus where 50-51°F leads at 28% implied probability, closely trailed by 52-53°F and 48-49°F outcomes. This reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing persistent northwest flow ushering cool marine air, capping highs under persistent low clouds and light onshore breezes typical of late March climatology (historical average high ~54°F). Slight disagreements emerge in cloud cover evolution—thicker stratus could hold temps nearer 48-49°F, while brief breaks might nudge toward 54-55°F. Updated 12Z model guidance expected later today, with resolution based on official Sea-Tac observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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