ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 3 center on means of 18–19°C, but wide spreads exceeding 5°C capture uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential frontal passages, and sea breeze moderation from the East China Sea, driving closely matched trader odds favoring 16°C (27%) and 17°C (25%). Early April climatology shows average highs near 17–18°C amid spring transition, with historical daily variability of 5–10°C influenced by northerly cold air outbreaks or southerly flows. China Meteorological Administration updates have nudged sentiment cooler in recent runs. Watch daily model refreshes and CMA bulletins through April 2 for shifts in low-confidence guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
16°C 28%
17°C 26%
15°C 17%
14°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
11%
12°C
11%
13°C
9%
14°C
17%
15°C
17%
16°C
28%
17°C
26%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
13%
16°C 28%
17°C 26%
15°C 17%
14°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
10°C or below
$347 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
11%
12°C
$5 Vol.
11%
13°C
$0 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
17%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
16%
19°C
$0 Vol.
15%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 3 center on means of 18–19°C, but wide spreads exceeding 5°C capture uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential frontal passages, and sea breeze moderation from the East China Sea, driving closely matched trader odds favoring 16°C (27%) and 17°C (25%). Early April climatology shows average highs near 17–18°C amid spring transition, with historical daily variability of 5–10°C influenced by northerly cold air outbreaks or southerly flows. China Meteorological Administration updates have nudged sentiment cooler in recent runs. Watch daily model refreshes and CMA bulletins through April 2 for shifts in low-confidence guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volumen
$352Fecha de finalización
Apr 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 3 center on means of 18–19°C, but wide spreads exceeding 5°C capture uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential frontal passages, and sea breeze moderation from the East China Sea, driving closely matched trader odds favoring 16°C (27%) and 17°C (25%). Early April climatology shows average highs near 17–18°C amid spring transition, with historical daily variability of 5–10°C influenced by northerly cold air outbreaks or southerly flows. China Meteorological Administration updates have nudged sentiment cooler in recent runs. Watch daily model refreshes and CMA bulletins through April 2 for shifts in low-confidence guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$352Fecha de finalización
Apr 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 3 center on means of 18–19°C, but wide spreads exceeding 5°C capture uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential frontal passages, and sea breeze moderation from the East China Sea, driving closely matched trader odds favoring 16°C (27%) and 17°C (25%). Early April climatology shows average highs near 17–18°C amid spring transition, with historical daily variability of 5–10°C influenced by northerly cold air outbreaks or southerly flows. China Meteorological Administration updates have nudged sentiment cooler in recent runs. Watch daily model refreshes and CMA bulletins through April 2 for shifts in low-confidence guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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