Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 28–29°C for Shenzhen's April 6 high temperature, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting 29°C amid thundery showers and light winds, corroborated by BBC Weather's 29°C estimate. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread across GFS and ECMWF models—spanning 27–31°C—stemming from uncertain cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–3°C through reduced insolation. This aligns with Shenzhen's historical April highs averaging 26°C amid rising seasonal trends and current warm anomalies, though shower variability introduces genuine uncertainty; watch CMA's next update on April 3 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
28°C 27%
27°C 25%
29°C 21%
31°C or higher 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
8%
26°C
13%
27°C
25%
28°C
27%
29°C
21%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
20%
28°C 27%
27°C 25%
29°C 21%
31°C or higher 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
21°C or below
$281 Vol.
2%
22°C
$94 Vol.
1%
23°C
$102 Vol.
4%
24°C
$51 Vol.
6%
25°C
$46 Vol.
8%
26°C
$36 Vol.
13%
27°C
$88 Vol.
25%
28°C
$125 Vol.
27%
29°C
$55 Vol.
21%
30°C
$46 Vol.
19%
31°C or higher
$48 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 28–29°C for Shenzhen's April 6 high temperature, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting 29°C amid thundery showers and light winds, corroborated by BBC Weather's 29°C estimate. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread across GFS and ECMWF models—spanning 27–31°C—stemming from uncertain cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–3°C through reduced insolation. This aligns with Shenzhen's historical April highs averaging 26°C amid rising seasonal trends and current warm anomalies, though shower variability introduces genuine uncertainty; watch CMA's next update on April 3 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ET
Volumen
$974Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 28–29°C for Shenzhen's April 6 high temperature, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting 29°C amid thundery showers and light winds, corroborated by BBC Weather's 29°C estimate. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread across GFS and ECMWF models—spanning 27–31°C—stemming from uncertain cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–3°C through reduced insolation. This aligns with Shenzhen's historical April highs averaging 26°C amid rising seasonal trends and current warm anomalies, though shower variability introduces genuine uncertainty; watch CMA's next update on April 3 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$974Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 28–29°C for Shenzhen's April 6 high temperature, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting 29°C amid thundery showers and light winds, corroborated by BBC Weather's 29°C estimate. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread across GFS and ECMWF models—spanning 27–31°C—stemming from uncertain cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress peaks by 1–3°C through reduced insolation. This aligns with Shenzhen's historical April highs averaging 26°C amid rising seasonal trends and current warm anomalies, though shower variability introduces genuine uncertainty; watch CMA's next update on April 3 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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