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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

25°C 24%

26°C 24%

27°C 22%

28°C or higher 21%

Polymarket
NEW

25°C 24%

26°C 24%

27°C 22%

28°C or higher 21%

Polymarket
NEW

18°C or below

$140 Vol.

2%

19°C

$163 Vol.

3%

20°C

$163 Vol.

3%

21°C

$0 Vol.

10%

22°C

$0 Vol.

16%

23°C

$0 Vol.

16%

24°C

$46 Vol.

16%

25°C

$0 Vol.

24%

26°C

$279 Vol.

24%

27°C

$0 Vol.

22%

28°C or higher

$2 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 30, projects a daytime high of 27°C on April 2 under mainly cloudy conditions with one or two showers and afternoon sunny intervals, driven by an east-to-southeast airstream following a weakening trough of low pressure over Guangdong. This aligns trader sentiment with closely matched implied probabilities for 25°C (24%), 28°C or higher (20.5%), and 27°C (20%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing that could suppress peaks via reduced solar insolation or permit hotter readings if skies clear. Recent March highs reached 26°C on the 27th amid spring's above-normal temperature bias, with daily HKO updates and model ensembles like GFS likely to refine odds ahead of resolution.

Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 30, projects a daytime high of 27°C on April 2 under mainly cloudy conditions with one or two showers and afternoon sunny intervals, driven by an east-to-southeast airstream following a weakening trough of low pressure over Guangdong. This aligns trader sentiment with closely matched implied probabilities for 25°C (24%), 28°C or higher (20.5%), and 27°C (20%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing that could suppress peaks via reduced solar insolation or permit hotter readings if skies clear. Recent March highs reached 26°C on the 27th amid spring's above-normal temperature bias, with daily HKO updates and model ensembles like GFS likely to refine odds ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 30, projects a daytime high of 27°C on April 2 under mainly cloudy conditions with one or two showers and afternoon sunny intervals, driven by an east-to-southeast airstream following a weakening trough of low pressure over Guangdong. This aligns trader sentiment with closely matched implied probabilities for 25°C (24%), 28°C or higher (20.5%), and 27°C (20%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing that could suppress peaks via reduced solar insolation or permit hotter readings if skies clear. Recent March highs reached 26°C on the 27th amid spring's above-normal temperature bias, with daily HKO updates and model ensembles like GFS likely to refine odds ahead of resolution.

Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 30, projects a daytime high of 27°C on April 2 under mainly cloudy conditions with one or two showers and afternoon sunny intervals, driven by an east-to-southeast airstream following a weakening trough of low pressure over Guangdong. This aligns trader sentiment with closely matched implied probabilities for 25°C (24%), 28°C or higher (20.5%), and 27°C (20%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and shower timing that could suppress peaks via reduced solar insolation or permit hotter readings if skies clear. Recent March highs reached 26°C on the 27th amid spring's above-normal temperature bias, with daily HKO updates and model ensembles like GFS likely to refine odds ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "25°C" con 24%, seguido de "26°C" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?" es "25°C" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "26°C" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.