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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?

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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

25°C 51%

26°C 31%

27°C 9%

28°C 5.9%

Polymarket
NEW

$29,280 Vol.

25°C 51%

26°C 31%

27°C 9%

28°C 5.9%

Polymarket
NEW

$29,280 Vol.

19°C or below

$1,812 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$1,999 Vol.

<1%

21°C

$3,073 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$2,215 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$3,217 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$4,461 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$6,982 Vol.

51%

26°C

$1,211 Vol.

31%

27°C

$2,055 Vol.

9%

28°C

$1,403 Vol.

6%

29°C or higher

$1,369 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 10:43 HKT on March 30, projects a high of 27°C today amid a trough of low pressure bringing mainly cloudy skies, heavy showers, and severe squally thunderstorms, with southerly winds at force 3-4 and humidity 70-95%. However, trader consensus favors 25°C at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting subdued morning observations—peaking at 24°C around stations like Sha Tin and Sai Kung by 11 a.m.—and yesterday's 24°C high that fell short amid similar moist conditions suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation. Recent days saw 27°C on March 28 and 26°C on March 27 before cooling, consistent with spring's above-normal temperatures but vulnerable to cloud-induced caps; watch afternoon automatic weather station data for resolution.

Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 10:43 HKT on March 30, projects a high of 27°C today amid a trough of low pressure bringing mainly cloudy skies, heavy showers, and severe squally thunderstorms, with southerly winds at force 3-4 and humidity 70-95%. However, trader consensus favors 25°C at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting subdued morning observations—peaking at 24°C around stations like Sha Tin and Sai Kung by 11 a.m.—and yesterday's 24°C high that fell short amid similar moist conditions suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation. Recent days saw 27°C on March 28 and 26°C on March 27 before cooling, consistent with spring's above-normal temperatures but vulnerable to cloud-induced caps; watch afternoon automatic weather station data for resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 10:43 HKT on March 30, projects a high of 27°C today amid a trough of low pressure bringing mainly cloudy skies, heavy showers, and severe squally thunderstorms, with southerly winds at force 3-4 and humidity 70-95%. However, trader consensus favors 25°C at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting subdued morning observations—peaking at 24°C around stations like Sha Tin and Sai Kung by 11 a.m.—and yesterday's 24°C high that fell short amid similar moist conditions suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation. Recent days saw 27°C on March 28 and 26°C on March 27 before cooling, consistent with spring's above-normal temperatures but vulnerable to cloud-induced caps; watch afternoon automatic weather station data for resolution.

Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 10:43 HKT on March 30, projects a high of 27°C today amid a trough of low pressure bringing mainly cloudy skies, heavy showers, and severe squally thunderstorms, with southerly winds at force 3-4 and humidity 70-95%. However, trader consensus favors 25°C at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting subdued morning observations—peaking at 24°C around stations like Sha Tin and Sai Kung by 11 a.m.—and yesterday's 24°C high that fell short amid similar moist conditions suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation. Recent days saw 27°C on March 28 and 26°C on March 27 before cooling, consistent with spring's above-normal temperatures but vulnerable to cloud-induced caps; watch afternoon automatic weather station data for resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "25°C" con 51%, seguido de "26°C" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 51¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?" ha generado $29.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 29, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?" es "25°C" con 51%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "26°C" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.