Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.7% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Shanghai today, driven by the latest forecast from the China Meteorological Administration, which pegs the daily maximum at exactly 24°C under overcast skies limiting solar heating. Current observations at Shanghai Xujiahui observatory align, showing cloudy conditions with temperatures hovering around 24°C midday and southerly winds below 12 km/h suppressing further warming. Ensemble weather models converge on this outlook, consistent with April climatology where highs average 18–20°C amid variable spring patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for increased insolation or a brief adiabatic compression from shifting fronts, though persistent cloud cover makes deviations below 1% likely; official data releases will confirm by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
24°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
22°C <1%
$436,840 Vol.
$436,840 Vol.
5 abr 2026
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
22°C <1%
$436,840 Vol.
$436,840 Vol.
5 abr 2026
22°C
$41,807 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$54,678 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$31,504 Vol.
100%
25°C
$22,205 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$34,887 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$41,551 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$22,606 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.7% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Shanghai today, driven by the latest forecast from the China Meteorological Administration, which pegs the daily maximum at exactly 24°C under overcast skies limiting solar heating. Current observations at Shanghai Xujiahui observatory align, showing cloudy conditions with temperatures hovering around 24°C midday and southerly winds below 12 km/h suppressing further warming. Ensemble weather models converge on this outlook, consistent with April climatology where highs average 18–20°C amid variable spring patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for increased insolation or a brief adiabatic compression from shifting fronts, though persistent cloud cover makes deviations below 1% likely; official data releases will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$436,840Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.7% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Shanghai today, driven by the latest forecast from the China Meteorological Administration, which pegs the daily maximum at exactly 24°C under overcast skies limiting solar heating. Current observations at Shanghai Xujiahui observatory align, showing cloudy conditions with temperatures hovering around 24°C midday and southerly winds below 12 km/h suppressing further warming. Ensemble weather models converge on this outlook, consistent with April climatology where highs average 18–20°C amid variable spring patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for increased insolation or a brief adiabatic compression from shifting fronts, though persistent cloud cover makes deviations below 1% likely; official data releases will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$436,840Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.7% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Shanghai today, driven by the latest forecast from the China Meteorological Administration, which pegs the daily maximum at exactly 24°C under overcast skies limiting solar heating. Current observations at Shanghai Xujiahui observatory align, showing cloudy conditions with temperatures hovering around 24°C midday and southerly winds below 12 km/h suppressing further warming. Ensemble weather models converge on this outlook, consistent with April climatology where highs average 18–20°C amid variable spring patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for increased insolation or a brief adiabatic compression from shifting fronts, though persistent cloud cover makes deviations below 1% likely; official data releases will confirm by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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