Trader sentiment for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 9 reflects tight clustering around 27–29°C, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which show ensemble means near 28°C but with significant spread due to uncertainty in cloud cover and potential frontal systems. Early April climatology points to average highs of 23–25°C, with historical variability up to 30°C amid spring warming trends, yet frequent patchy rain—common this month—could suppress peaks below 26°C while clearer skies favor 30°C+. Current mild conditions with nighttime lows around 15°C add to ambiguity; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours for resolution-shifting guidance on insolation and moisture advection.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 9?
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
27°C 28%
32°C or higher 28%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
30%
29°C
32%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C or higher
28%
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
27°C 28%
32°C or higher 28%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
30%
29°C
32%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 5, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 9 reflects tight clustering around 27–29°C, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which show ensemble means near 28°C but with significant spread due to uncertainty in cloud cover and potential frontal systems. Early April climatology points to average highs of 23–25°C, with historical variability up to 30°C amid spring warming trends, yet frequent patchy rain—common this month—could suppress peaks below 26°C while clearer skies favor 30°C+. Current mild conditions with nighttime lows around 15°C add to ambiguity; watch China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours for resolution-shifting guidance on insolation and moisture advection.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes