Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 9 highest temperature, with equal 26.5% implied probabilities across -2°C to 7°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and global models like ECMWF. The FMI's latest update (April 5) projects a daytime high near 7°C under partly cloudy skies following mild southerly winds and recent precipitation, but ensemble spreads indicate ±3–5°C variability from cloud cover and frontal passages over the Baltic Sea. Historical early-April averages hover at 5–7°C, with key differentiators including upper-level geopotential height patterns and boundary-layer mixing; daily FMI probability forecasts and ECMWF updates through April 8 will likely sharpen odds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 9?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 9?
1°C 23%
8°C or higher 23%
4°C 21%
6°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 abr 2026
-2°C or below
1%
-1°C
1%
0°C
13%
1°C
23%
2°C
16%
3°C
19%
4°C
21%
5°C
19%
6°C
20%
7°C
19%
8°C or higher
23%
1°C 23%
8°C or higher 23%
4°C 21%
6°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 abr 2026
-2°C or below
$145 Vol.
1%
-1°C
$153 Vol.
1%
0°C
$153 Vol.
13%
1°C
$145 Vol.
23%
2°C
$0 Vol.
16%
3°C
$0 Vol.
19%
4°C
$0 Vol.
21%
5°C
$0 Vol.
19%
6°C
$0 Vol.
20%
7°C
$0 Vol.
19%
8°C or higher
$0 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 9 highest temperature, with equal 26.5% implied probabilities across -2°C to 7°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and global models like ECMWF. The FMI's latest update (April 5) projects a daytime high near 7°C under partly cloudy skies following mild southerly winds and recent precipitation, but ensemble spreads indicate ±3–5°C variability from cloud cover and frontal passages over the Baltic Sea. Historical early-April averages hover at 5–7°C, with key differentiators including upper-level geopotential height patterns and boundary-layer mixing; daily FMI probability forecasts and ECMWF updates through April 8 will likely sharpen odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volumen
$596Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 9 highest temperature, with equal 26.5% implied probabilities across -2°C to 7°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and global models like ECMWF. The FMI's latest update (April 5) projects a daytime high near 7°C under partly cloudy skies following mild southerly winds and recent precipitation, but ensemble spreads indicate ±3–5°C variability from cloud cover and frontal passages over the Baltic Sea. Historical early-April averages hover at 5–7°C, with key differentiators including upper-level geopotential height patterns and boundary-layer mixing; daily FMI probability forecasts and ECMWF updates through April 8 will likely sharpen odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$596Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 9 highest temperature, with equal 26.5% implied probabilities across -2°C to 7°C outcomes, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and global models like ECMWF. The FMI's latest update (April 5) projects a daytime high near 7°C under partly cloudy skies following mild southerly winds and recent precipitation, but ensemble spreads indicate ±3–5°C variability from cloud cover and frontal passages over the Baltic Sea. Historical early-April averages hover at 5–7°C, with key differentiators including upper-level geopotential height patterns and boundary-layer mixing; daily FMI probability forecasts and ECMWF updates through April 8 will likely sharpen odds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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