Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Helsinki's highest temperature on April 7, with even 25.5% implied probabilities across -1°C to 8°C outcomes driven by divergent short-range forecast models amid transitional spring conditions. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest guidance points to a daytime peak near 8°C under partly cloudy skies with 60% precipitation odds early, influenced by low-pressure systems over the Norwegian Sea fostering cloud cover and cool southerly winds at 3 m/s. However, ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS highlight risks of cooler maxima if persistent cloudiness or cold air advection dominates, contrasting historical early-April averages of 5–7°C following Finland's record-warm March. Key differentiators include frontal timing and clearing extent; watch daily FMI updates and model refreshes through April 5 for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 7?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 7?
-1°C or below 26%
0°C 26%
1°C 26%
2°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
-1°C or below
26%
0°C
26%
1°C
26%
2°C
26%
3°C
26%
4°C
26%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C or higher
14%
-1°C or below 26%
0°C 26%
1°C 26%
2°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
-1°C or below
$0 Vol.
26%
0°C
$0 Vol.
26%
1°C
$0 Vol.
26%
2°C
$0 Vol.
26%
3°C
$0 Vol.
26%
4°C
$0 Vol.
26%
5°C
$0 Vol.
26%
6°C
$0 Vol.
26%
7°C
$0 Vol.
26%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Helsinki's highest temperature on April 7, with even 25.5% implied probabilities across -1°C to 8°C outcomes driven by divergent short-range forecast models amid transitional spring conditions. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest guidance points to a daytime peak near 8°C under partly cloudy skies with 60% precipitation odds early, influenced by low-pressure systems over the Norwegian Sea fostering cloud cover and cool southerly winds at 3 m/s. However, ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS highlight risks of cooler maxima if persistent cloudiness or cold air advection dominates, contrasting historical early-April averages of 5–7°C following Finland's record-warm March. Key differentiators include frontal timing and clearing extent; watch daily FMI updates and model refreshes through April 5 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Helsinki's highest temperature on April 7, with even 25.5% implied probabilities across -1°C to 8°C outcomes driven by divergent short-range forecast models amid transitional spring conditions. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest guidance points to a daytime peak near 8°C under partly cloudy skies with 60% precipitation odds early, influenced by low-pressure systems over the Norwegian Sea fostering cloud cover and cool southerly winds at 3 m/s. However, ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS highlight risks of cooler maxima if persistent cloudiness or cold air advection dominates, contrasting historical early-April averages of 5–7°C following Finland's record-warm March. Key differentiators include frontal timing and clearing extent; watch daily FMI updates and model refreshes through April 5 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Helsinki's highest temperature on April 7, with even 25.5% implied probabilities across -1°C to 8°C outcomes driven by divergent short-range forecast models amid transitional spring conditions. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest guidance points to a daytime peak near 8°C under partly cloudy skies with 60% precipitation odds early, influenced by low-pressure systems over the Norwegian Sea fostering cloud cover and cool southerly winds at 3 m/s. However, ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS highlight risks of cooler maxima if persistent cloudiness or cold air advection dominates, contrasting historical early-April averages of 5–7°C following Finland's record-warm March. Key differentiators include frontal timing and clearing extent; watch daily FMI updates and model refreshes through April 5 for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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