Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a daytime high near 20°C under partly sunny skies and light southwest winds, following a mild cool-down from late March's 20–23°C peaks under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models highlight uncertainty from potential northerly cold air advection dropping outcomes below 17°C or ridge amplification pushing toward 22–25°C, amid Beijing's typical early April frontal passages and climatological average highs of 18–20°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, wind shifts, and solar insolation; watch daily CMA updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
22°C 23%
19°C 22%
16°C or below 22%
20°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
22%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
22%
20°C
20%
21°C
18%
22°C
23%
23°C
13%
24°C
15%
25°C
18%
26°C or higher
8%
22°C 23%
19°C 22%
16°C or below 22%
20°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
$8 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
13%
24°C
$0 Vol.
15%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C or higher
$68 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a daytime high near 20°C under partly sunny skies and light southwest winds, following a mild cool-down from late March's 20–23°C peaks under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models highlight uncertainty from potential northerly cold air advection dropping outcomes below 17°C or ridge amplification pushing toward 22–25°C, amid Beijing's typical early April frontal passages and climatological average highs of 18–20°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, wind shifts, and solar insolation; watch daily CMA updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Volumen
$76Fecha de finalización
Apr 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a daytime high near 20°C under partly sunny skies and light southwest winds, following a mild cool-down from late March's 20–23°C peaks under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models highlight uncertainty from potential northerly cold air advection dropping outcomes below 17°C or ridge amplification pushing toward 22–25°C, amid Beijing's typical early April frontal passages and climatological average highs of 18–20°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, wind shifts, and solar insolation; watch daily CMA updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$76Fecha de finalización
Apr 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance projecting a daytime high near 20°C under partly sunny skies and light southwest winds, following a mild cool-down from late March's 20–23°C peaks under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models highlight uncertainty from potential northerly cold air advection dropping outcomes below 17°C or ridge amplification pushing toward 22–25°C, amid Beijing's typical early April frontal passages and climatological average highs of 18–20°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability, wind shifts, and solar insolation; watch daily CMA updates and 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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