Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models like ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 2 near 20°C under sunny skies with light southwest winds, driving trader consensus toward 19–22°C outcomes while reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Divergences arise from ensemble spreads in boundary layer temperatures and cloud cover variability—clearer skies could push peaks to 21–22°C via enhanced solar insolation, while any high cloud intrusion or lighter winds might cap at 18–19°C. Historical early-April averages hover at 19°C amid spring's volatile synoptic patterns, with recent clear conditions over the past 48 hours favoring mild warmth. Daily CMA updates through April 1 will refine probabilities as model runs converge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
20°C 35%
21°C 22%
22°C 21%
19°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
16°C or below
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
16%
19°C
17%
20°C
26%
21°C
22%
22°C
21%
23°C
13%
24°C
8%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
3%
20°C 35%
21°C 22%
22°C 21%
19°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
16°C or below
$34 Vol.
3%
17°C
$29 Vol.
9%
18°C
$19 Vol.
16%
19°C
$20 Vol.
17%
20°C
$68 Vol.
26%
21°C
$26 Vol.
22%
22°C
$20 Vol.
21%
23°C
$19 Vol.
13%
24°C
$19 Vol.
8%
25°C
$24 Vol.
10%
26°C or higher
$242 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models like ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 2 near 20°C under sunny skies with light southwest winds, driving trader consensus toward 19–22°C outcomes while reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Divergences arise from ensemble spreads in boundary layer temperatures and cloud cover variability—clearer skies could push peaks to 21–22°C via enhanced solar insolation, while any high cloud intrusion or lighter winds might cap at 18–19°C. Historical early-April averages hover at 19°C amid spring's volatile synoptic patterns, with recent clear conditions over the past 48 hours favoring mild warmth. Daily CMA updates through April 1 will refine probabilities as model runs converge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Volumen
$521Fecha de finalización
Apr 2, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models like ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 2 near 20°C under sunny skies with light southwest winds, driving trader consensus toward 19–22°C outcomes while reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Divergences arise from ensemble spreads in boundary layer temperatures and cloud cover variability—clearer skies could push peaks to 21–22°C via enhanced solar insolation, while any high cloud intrusion or lighter winds might cap at 18–19°C. Historical early-April averages hover at 19°C amid spring's volatile synoptic patterns, with recent clear conditions over the past 48 hours favoring mild warmth. Daily CMA updates through April 1 will refine probabilities as model runs converge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$521Fecha de finalización
Apr 2, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models like ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 2 near 20°C under sunny skies with light southwest winds, driving trader consensus toward 19–22°C outcomes while reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Divergences arise from ensemble spreads in boundary layer temperatures and cloud cover variability—clearer skies could push peaks to 21–22°C via enhanced solar insolation, while any high cloud intrusion or lighter winds might cap at 18–19°C. Historical early-April averages hover at 19°C amid spring's volatile synoptic patterns, with recent clear conditions over the past 48 hours favoring mild warmth. Daily CMA updates through April 1 will refine probabilities as model runs converge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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