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Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

17°C 28%

18°C 22%

16°C 17%

20°C 15%

Polymarket
NEW

17°C 28%

18°C 22%

16°C 17%

20°C 15%

Polymarket
NEW

12°C or below

$602 Vol.

1%

13°C

$177 Vol.

1%

14°C

$534 Vol.

6%

15°C

$55 Vol.

11%

16°C

$101 Vol.

17%

17°C

$205 Vol.

36%

18°C

$21 Vol.

22%

19°C

$302 Vol.

14%

20°C

$26 Vol.

15%

21°C

$16 Vol.

7%

22°C or higher

$71 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 1 at around 17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly breezes, driving trader consensus with 36% implied probability on that outcome. This reflects a moderation from late March's persistent high-pressure ridge, which delivered daytime highs of 20–22°C through March 29 amid above-average solar insolation and stable atmospheric conditions. Early April climatology supports the 16–19°C cluster (collectively over 90% market share), aligning with historical averages of 17–18°C at Beijing Capital International Airport, though spring variability introduces uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions or model shifts. Traders await tomorrow's updated GFS and ECMWF runs for refined guidance ahead of resolution.

Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 1 at around 17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly breezes, driving trader consensus with 36% implied probability on that outcome. This reflects a moderation from late March's persistent high-pressure ridge, which delivered daytime highs of 20–22°C through March 29 amid above-average solar insolation and stable atmospheric conditions. Early April climatology supports the 16–19°C cluster (collectively over 90% market share), aligning with historical averages of 17–18°C at Beijing Capital International Airport, though spring variability introduces uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions or model shifts. Traders await tomorrow's updated GFS and ECMWF runs for refined guidance ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 1 at around 17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly breezes, driving trader consensus with 36% implied probability on that outcome. This reflects a moderation from late March's persistent high-pressure ridge, which delivered daytime highs of 20–22°C through March 29 amid above-average solar insolation and stable atmospheric conditions. Early April climatology supports the 16–19°C cluster (collectively over 90% market share), aligning with historical averages of 17–18°C at Beijing Capital International Airport, though spring variability introduces uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions or model shifts. Traders await tomorrow's updated GFS and ECMWF runs for refined guidance ahead of resolution.

Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF project Beijing's highest temperature on April 1 at around 17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly breezes, driving trader consensus with 36% implied probability on that outcome. This reflects a moderation from late March's persistent high-pressure ridge, which delivered daytime highs of 20–22°C through March 29 amid above-average solar insolation and stable atmospheric conditions. Early April climatology supports the 16–19°C cluster (collectively over 90% market share), aligning with historical averages of 17–18°C at Beijing Capital International Airport, though spring variability introduces uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions or model shifts. Traders await tomorrow's updated GFS and ECMWF runs for refined guidance ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "17°C" con 36%, seguido de "18°C" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?" es "17°C" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "18°C" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.