Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high in Tokyo today, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast update issued early this morning, projecting clear skies with a daytime maximum of 19°C under high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds typical for early April. Global models like GFS (18.5°C) and ECMWF (18.2°C) align closely, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions with minimal cloud cover and no significant warm-air advection. Real-time observations at Haneda Airport—the resolution station—have already peaked near 19°C mid-afternoon, with temperatures now declining toward evening lows around 9°C. While a late-day microburst of solar heating could nudge it to 20°C, model ensembles show low probability, as cooling inversion layers set in post-sunset. JMA's evening bulletin will provide final confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 3?
19°C 99.6%
20°C <1%
21°C or higher <1%
$149,443 Vol.
$149,443 Vol.
3 abr 2026
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.6%
20°C <1%
21°C or higher <1%
$149,443 Vol.
$149,443 Vol.
3 abr 2026
19°C
$22,662 Vol.
100%
20°C
$14,100 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$17,646 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high in Tokyo today, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast update issued early this morning, projecting clear skies with a daytime maximum of 19°C under high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds typical for early April. Global models like GFS (18.5°C) and ECMWF (18.2°C) align closely, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions with minimal cloud cover and no significant warm-air advection. Real-time observations at Haneda Airport—the resolution station—have already peaked near 19°C mid-afternoon, with temperatures now declining toward evening lows around 9°C. While a late-day microburst of solar heating could nudge it to 20°C, model ensembles show low probability, as cooling inversion layers set in post-sunset. JMA's evening bulletin will provide final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$149,443Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high in Tokyo today, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast update issued early this morning, projecting clear skies with a daytime maximum of 19°C under high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds typical for early April. Global models like GFS (18.5°C) and ECMWF (18.2°C) align closely, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions with minimal cloud cover and no significant warm-air advection. Real-time observations at Haneda Airport—the resolution station—have already peaked near 19°C mid-afternoon, with temperatures now declining toward evening lows around 9°C. While a late-day microburst of solar heating could nudge it to 20°C, model ensembles show low probability, as cooling inversion layers set in post-sunset. JMA's evening bulletin will provide final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$149,443Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 19°C high in Tokyo today, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast update issued early this morning, projecting clear skies with a daytime maximum of 19°C under high-pressure dominance and light southerly winds typical for early April. Global models like GFS (18.5°C) and ECMWF (18.2°C) align closely, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions with minimal cloud cover and no significant warm-air advection. Real-time observations at Haneda Airport—the resolution station—have already peaked near 19°C mid-afternoon, with temperatures now declining toward evening lows around 9°C. While a late-day microburst of solar heating could nudge it to 20°C, model ensembles show low probability, as cooling inversion layers set in post-sunset. JMA's evening bulletin will provide final confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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