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Highest temperature in NYC on April 4?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on April 4?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

58°F or higher 37%

56-57°F 24%

46-47°F 18%

54-55°F 9%

Polymarket
NEW

58°F or higher 37%

56-57°F 24%

46-47°F 18%

54-55°F 9%

Polymarket
NEW

39°F or below

$161 Vol.

1%

40-41°F

$148 Vol.

1%

42-43°F

$246 Vol.

1%

44-45°F

$149 Vol.

1%

46-47°F

$0 Vol.

18%

48-49°F

$0 Vol.

8%

50-51°F

$0 Vol.

8%

52-53°F

$0 Vol.

8%

54-55°F

$0 Vol.

9%

56-57°F

$0 Vol.

24%

58°F or higher

$5 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest high around 57°F for New York City on April 4, with 36% probability for 58°F or higher and 23.5% for 56-57°F, reflecting the latest extended-range guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering forecasts in the mid-to-upper 50s near Central Park's climatological average of 57.5°F. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center Week 3-4 outlook, updated March 27, favors warmer-than-normal probabilities across much of the eastern U.S., supporting upside potential amid a transitional spring pattern with ridging aloft, though equal chances persist for the Northeast per the spring outlook. Recent model runs have trended slightly milder, elevating higher bins, but uncertainty from frontal timing and cloud cover keeps spread across outcomes. Watch NWS New York forecast discussions and 00z model updates for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Central Park observations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest high around 57°F for New York City on April 4, with 36% probability for 58°F or higher and 23.5% for 56-57°F, reflecting the latest extended-range guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering forecasts in the mid-to-upper 50s near Central Park's climatological average of 57.5°F. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center Week 3-4 outlook, updated March 27, favors warmer-than-normal probabilities across much of the eastern U.S., supporting upside potential amid a transitional spring pattern with ridging aloft, though equal chances persist for the Northeast per the spring outlook. Recent model runs have trended slightly milder, elevating higher bins, but uncertainty from frontal timing and cloud cover keeps spread across outcomes. Watch NWS New York forecast discussions and 00z model updates for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Central Park observations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest high around 57°F for New York City on April 4, with 36% probability for 58°F or higher and 23.5% for 56-57°F, reflecting the latest extended-range guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering forecasts in the mid-to-upper 50s near Central Park's climatological average of 57.5°F. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center Week 3-4 outlook, updated March 27, favors warmer-than-normal probabilities across much of the eastern U.S., supporting upside potential amid a transitional spring pattern with ridging aloft, though equal chances persist for the Northeast per the spring outlook. Recent model runs have trended slightly milder, elevating higher bins, but uncertainty from frontal timing and cloud cover keeps spread across outcomes. Watch NWS New York forecast discussions and 00z model updates for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Central Park observations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest high around 57°F for New York City on April 4, with 36% probability for 58°F or higher and 23.5% for 56-57°F, reflecting the latest extended-range guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering forecasts in the mid-to-upper 50s near Central Park's climatological average of 57.5°F. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center Week 3-4 outlook, updated March 27, favors warmer-than-normal probabilities across much of the eastern U.S., supporting upside potential amid a transitional spring pattern with ridging aloft, though equal chances persist for the Northeast per the spring outlook. Recent model runs have trended slightly milder, elevating higher bins, but uncertainty from frontal timing and cloud cover keeps spread across outcomes. Watch NWS New York forecast discussions and 00z model updates for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Central Park observations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in NYC on April 4?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "58°F or higher" con 37%, seguido de "56-57°F" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in NYC on April 4?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in NYC on April 4?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in NYC on April 4?" es "58°F or higher" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "56-57°F" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in NYC on April 4?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.