Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 3, with implied probabilities fragmented around 20-26°C due to conflicting global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Recent runs from sources such as world-weather.info project a high near 20°C (68°F) amid 60-70% precipitation chances from a moist frontal system, capping daytime heating under persistent cloud cover, while warmer outliers (up to 26°C+) gain traction from scenarios featuring earlier clearing and southerly winds enhancing low-level warm air advection. Early April climatology averages 21°C maxima with ±4°C variability tied to jet stream positioning and Yangtze River Valley moisture; daily China Meteorological Administration updates and new model initializations through April 2 could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
26°C or higher 40%
21°C 20%
22°C 20%
20°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
18%
26°C or higher
40%
26°C or higher 40%
21°C 20%
22°C 20%
20°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
$405 Vol.
1%
17°C
$10 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$0 Vol.
20%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C or higher
$8 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 3, with implied probabilities fragmented around 20-26°C due to conflicting global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Recent runs from sources such as world-weather.info project a high near 20°C (68°F) amid 60-70% precipitation chances from a moist frontal system, capping daytime heating under persistent cloud cover, while warmer outliers (up to 26°C+) gain traction from scenarios featuring earlier clearing and southerly winds enhancing low-level warm air advection. Early April climatology averages 21°C maxima with ±4°C variability tied to jet stream positioning and Yangtze River Valley moisture; daily China Meteorological Administration updates and new model initializations through April 2 could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volumen
$423Fecha de finalización
Apr 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 3, with implied probabilities fragmented around 20-26°C due to conflicting global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Recent runs from sources such as world-weather.info project a high near 20°C (68°F) amid 60-70% precipitation chances from a moist frontal system, capping daytime heating under persistent cloud cover, while warmer outliers (up to 26°C+) gain traction from scenarios featuring earlier clearing and southerly winds enhancing low-level warm air advection. Early April climatology averages 21°C maxima with ±4°C variability tied to jet stream positioning and Yangtze River Valley moisture; daily China Meteorological Administration updates and new model initializations through April 2 could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$423Fecha de finalización
Apr 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 3, with implied probabilities fragmented around 20-26°C due to conflicting global model outputs like GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Recent runs from sources such as world-weather.info project a high near 20°C (68°F) amid 60-70% precipitation chances from a moist frontal system, capping daytime heating under persistent cloud cover, while warmer outliers (up to 26°C+) gain traction from scenarios featuring earlier clearing and southerly winds enhancing low-level warm air advection. Early April climatology averages 21°C maxima with ±4°C variability tied to jet stream positioning and Yangtze River Valley moisture; daily China Meteorological Administration updates and new model initializations through April 2 could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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