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Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

23°C 21%

24°C 21%

28°C or higher 20%

22°C 18%

Polymarket
NEW

23°C 21%

24°C 21%

28°C or higher 20%

22°C 18%

Polymarket
NEW

18°C or below

$5 Vol.

3%

19°C

$30 Vol.

12%

20°C

$0 Vol.

10%

21°C

$0 Vol.

11%

22°C

$0 Vol.

18%

23°C

$0 Vol.

21%

24°C

$0 Vol.

21%

25°C

$0 Vol.

11%

26°C

$0 Vol.

11%

27°C

$0 Vol.

10%

28°C or higher

$0 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket shows tight clustering around 22–28°C highs for Chongqing on April 3, with no outcome exceeding 20.5% implied probability, reflecting inherent uncertainty in 96-hour numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts. These models project mean highs of 23–25°C amid a warming spring trend in the Yangtze River basin, where daytime temperatures typically rise from 21°C early April to 27°C later, but diverge on cloud cover from stratiform systems and southerly warm air advection versus potential weak cold fronts. Warmer outcomes gain edge with clearer skies enhancing solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler ones prevail under overcast persistence; daily CMA updates expected to refine spreads before resolution via official station measurements.

Trader consensus on Polymarket shows tight clustering around 22–28°C highs for Chongqing on April 3, with no outcome exceeding 20.5% implied probability, reflecting inherent uncertainty in 96-hour numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts. These models project mean highs of 23–25°C amid a warming spring trend in the Yangtze River basin, where daytime temperatures typically rise from 21°C early April to 27°C later, but diverge on cloud cover from stratiform systems and southerly warm air advection versus potential weak cold fronts. Warmer outcomes gain edge with clearer skies enhancing solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler ones prevail under overcast persistence; daily CMA updates expected to refine spreads before resolution via official station measurements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket shows tight clustering around 22–28°C highs for Chongqing on April 3, with no outcome exceeding 20.5% implied probability, reflecting inherent uncertainty in 96-hour numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts. These models project mean highs of 23–25°C amid a warming spring trend in the Yangtze River basin, where daytime temperatures typically rise from 21°C early April to 27°C later, but diverge on cloud cover from stratiform systems and southerly warm air advection versus potential weak cold fronts. Warmer outcomes gain edge with clearer skies enhancing solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler ones prevail under overcast persistence; daily CMA updates expected to refine spreads before resolution via official station measurements.

Trader consensus on Polymarket shows tight clustering around 22–28°C highs for Chongqing on April 3, with no outcome exceeding 20.5% implied probability, reflecting inherent uncertainty in 96-hour numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and China Meteorological Administration forecasts. These models project mean highs of 23–25°C amid a warming spring trend in the Yangtze River basin, where daytime temperatures typically rise from 21°C early April to 27°C later, but diverge on cloud cover from stratiform systems and southerly warm air advection versus potential weak cold fronts. Warmer outcomes gain edge with clearer skies enhancing solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler ones prevail under overcast persistence; daily CMA updates expected to refine spreads before resolution via official station measurements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "23°C" con 21%, seguido de "24°C" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 21¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 21% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?" es "23°C" con 21%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 21% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "24°C" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.