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Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 2?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 2?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

19°C 24%

21°C or higher 22%

18°C 19%

20°C 19%

Polymarket
NEW

19°C 24%

21°C or higher 22%

18°C 19%

20°C 19%

Polymarket
NEW

11°C or below

$145 Vol.

3%

12°C

$198 Vol.

1%

13°C

$244 Vol.

1%

14°C

$351 Vol.

3%

15°C

$0 Vol.

17%

16°C

$0 Vol.

16%

17°C

$0 Vol.

18%

18°C

$0 Vol.

19%

19°C

$6 Vol.

24%

20°C

$0 Vol.

19%

21°C or higher

$0 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 18-20°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 23% probability. Persistent low pressure and cloud cover from late March's rainy patterns—highs limited to 15-19°C at Jiangbei International Airport—have suppressed heating, creating a cool anomaly below the early April climatological average of 21-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud fraction and shower timing: overcast skies favor 17-19°C, while partial clearing boosts diurnal heating toward 21°C or higher, though model spread highlights uncertainty from northerly flows. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 1 will clarify resolution based on airport observations.

Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 18-20°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 23% probability. Persistent low pressure and cloud cover from late March's rainy patterns—highs limited to 15-19°C at Jiangbei International Airport—have suppressed heating, creating a cool anomaly below the early April climatological average of 21-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud fraction and shower timing: overcast skies favor 17-19°C, while partial clearing boosts diurnal heating toward 21°C or higher, though model spread highlights uncertainty from northerly flows. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 1 will clarify resolution based on airport observations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 18-20°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 23% probability. Persistent low pressure and cloud cover from late March's rainy patterns—highs limited to 15-19°C at Jiangbei International Airport—have suppressed heating, creating a cool anomaly below the early April climatological average of 21-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud fraction and shower timing: overcast skies favor 17-19°C, while partial clearing boosts diurnal heating toward 21°C or higher, though model spread highlights uncertainty from northerly flows. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 1 will clarify resolution based on airport observations.

Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles project Chongqing's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 18-20°C, driving the tight market-implied odds with no outcome exceeding 23% probability. Persistent low pressure and cloud cover from late March's rainy patterns—highs limited to 15-19°C at Jiangbei International Airport—have suppressed heating, creating a cool anomaly below the early April climatological average of 21-22°C. Key differentiators include cloud fraction and shower timing: overcast skies favor 17-19°C, while partial clearing boosts diurnal heating toward 21°C or higher, though model spread highlights uncertainty from northerly flows. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through April 1 will clarify resolution based on airport observations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 2?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "19°C" con 24%, seguido de "21°C or higher" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 2?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 2?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 2?" es "19°C" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "21°C or higher" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 2?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.