Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32%) and 21°C (29.5%) for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid spring variability. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles projects afternoon peaks near 20°C, driven by a cooling trend from gusty northerly winds—up to 30-40 km/h—following April 3's hazy warmth around 24°C and frontal passage. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud persistence capping at 19-20°C versus brief southerly flow or urban heat effects nudging toward 21°C; historical early-April highs average 19°C with 2°C ensemble uncertainty at 48 hours out. Watch CMA's daily 12Z update for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 5 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 5 de abril?
20°C 36%
21°C 30%
19°C 14%
22°C 9.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
6%
19°C
14%
20°C
36%
21°C
30%
22°C
9%
23°C o más
6%
20°C 36%
21°C 30%
19°C 14%
22°C 9.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
13°C o menos
$483 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,308 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,124 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,488 Vol.
2%
17°C
$636 Vol.
8%
18°C
$432 Vol.
6%
19°C
$309 Vol.
14%
20°C
$393 Vol.
36%
21°C
$1,141 Vol.
30%
22°C
$743 Vol.
9%
23°C o más
$476 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32%) and 21°C (29.5%) for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid spring variability. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles projects afternoon peaks near 20°C, driven by a cooling trend from gusty northerly winds—up to 30-40 km/h—following April 3's hazy warmth around 24°C and frontal passage. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud persistence capping at 19-20°C versus brief southerly flow or urban heat effects nudging toward 21°C; historical early-April highs average 19°C with 2°C ensemble uncertainty at 48 hours out. Watch CMA's daily 12Z update for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volumen
$9,488Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32%) and 21°C (29.5%) for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid spring variability. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles projects afternoon peaks near 20°C, driven by a cooling trend from gusty northerly winds—up to 30-40 km/h—following April 3's hazy warmth around 24°C and frontal passage. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud persistence capping at 19-20°C versus brief southerly flow or urban heat effects nudging toward 21°C; historical early-April highs average 19°C with 2°C ensemble uncertainty at 48 hours out. Watch CMA's daily 12Z update for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,488Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (32%) and 21°C (29.5%) for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting tight forecast model spreads amid spring variability. Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles projects afternoon peaks near 20°C, driven by a cooling trend from gusty northerly winds—up to 30-40 km/h—following April 3's hazy warmth around 24°C and frontal passage. Differentiating factors include potential low-level cloud persistence capping at 19-20°C versus brief southerly flow or urban heat effects nudging toward 21°C; historical early-April highs average 19°C with 2°C ensemble uncertainty at 48 hours out. Watch CMA's daily 12Z update for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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