Divergent short-range model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF are fueling the tight trader consensus on Seattle's April 7 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around cooler bins like 53°F or below (29%) and 56-57°F (26.5%), nearly matching the outlier 72°F or higher (25.5%). Recent National Weather Service guidance shows partly sunny conditions with highs near 57°F through the weekend amid lingering marine clouds and light rain chances from a weakening trough, capping temperatures close to April climatological normals of 56-58°F. Warmer scenarios hinge on ridge amplification aloft, potentially yielding clear skies and downslope enhancement from the Cascades, though Puget Sound stratus often moderates extremes. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates expected today could sharpen the outlook amid typical day-4 uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on April 7?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 7?
53°F or below 33%
56-57°F 19%
54-55°F 16%
62-63°F 9.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
53°F or below
33%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
18%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
1%
53°F or below 33%
56-57°F 19%
54-55°F 16%
62-63°F 9.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
53°F or below
$70 Vol.
33%
54-55°F
$50 Vol.
19%
56-57°F
$91 Vol.
19%
58-59°F
$10 Vol.
8%
60-61°F
$8 Vol.
18%
62-63°F
$10 Vol.
10%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$169 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$209 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$199 Vol.
1%
72°F or higher
$199 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Divergent short-range model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF are fueling the tight trader consensus on Seattle's April 7 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around cooler bins like 53°F or below (29%) and 56-57°F (26.5%), nearly matching the outlier 72°F or higher (25.5%). Recent National Weather Service guidance shows partly sunny conditions with highs near 57°F through the weekend amid lingering marine clouds and light rain chances from a weakening trough, capping temperatures close to April climatological normals of 56-58°F. Warmer scenarios hinge on ridge amplification aloft, potentially yielding clear skies and downslope enhancement from the Cascades, though Puget Sound stratus often moderates extremes. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates expected today could sharpen the outlook amid typical day-4 uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,016Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Divergent short-range model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF are fueling the tight trader consensus on Seattle's April 7 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around cooler bins like 53°F or below (29%) and 56-57°F (26.5%), nearly matching the outlier 72°F or higher (25.5%). Recent National Weather Service guidance shows partly sunny conditions with highs near 57°F through the weekend amid lingering marine clouds and light rain chances from a weakening trough, capping temperatures close to April climatological normals of 56-58°F. Warmer scenarios hinge on ridge amplification aloft, potentially yielding clear skies and downslope enhancement from the Cascades, though Puget Sound stratus often moderates extremes. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates expected today could sharpen the outlook amid typical day-4 uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,016Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Divergent short-range model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF are fueling the tight trader consensus on Seattle's April 7 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around cooler bins like 53°F or below (29%) and 56-57°F (26.5%), nearly matching the outlier 72°F or higher (25.5%). Recent National Weather Service guidance shows partly sunny conditions with highs near 57°F through the weekend amid lingering marine clouds and light rain chances from a weakening trough, capping temperatures close to April climatological normals of 56-58°F. Warmer scenarios hinge on ridge amplification aloft, potentially yielding clear skies and downslope enhancement from the Cascades, though Puget Sound stratus often moderates extremes. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates expected today could sharpen the outlook amid typical day-4 uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes